Week 0 · College Football

New Mexico St vs Florida State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida State a 97% chance to beat New Mexico St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#124 Conference USA

New Mexico St

0% to make the 12

@

#36 Atlantic Coast Conference

Florida State

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFlorida State −29.5Vegas
Projected scoreNew Mexico St 11Florida State 41

Florida State is a heavy favorite — 97% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter6 · CHALK
6/ 100
CalmMayhem

New Mexico St

3%

to win

Florida State

97%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New Mexico St
vs
Florida State
#128Offense · EPA/play#14
#41Defense · EPA/play#63
#58Explosiveness#16
#124Success rate#17
56%Returning production13%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New Mexico St is hearing

What Florida State is hearing

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