College football · 2026

Updated Aug 30, 2026

Week 0 predictions

In college football Week 0, the TailgateNinjas model went 4-2 on 6 completed games. Updated August 29, 2026.

Every game with our model's win probability and how it compares to the posted line. Tap any matchup for the full read. Once the games are played, this page keeps the receipts.

Final 42 on games we called this weekFull report card →

Closest games

Win probability nearest a coin flip — the model's least confident calls of the week.

Where we disagree with the market

Our projected margin differs from the posted line by 3 points or more.

Week 0 upset watch — where the favorites look shaky →Which Week 0 games actually change the playoff field →

Every game · Week 0

All 6 games, ordered by how much they move the playoff picture.

Get next week before it happens

One email on Tuesdays: the games that moved the board, and an honest scoring of the calls we just made.

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