Week 5 · NFL

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Baltimore Ravens a 63% chance to beat Atlanta Falcons in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#1 AFC North

Baltimore Ravens

91% to make the playoffs

@

#26 NFC South

Atlanta Falcons

11% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadBaltimore Ravens −4.5Vegas
Projected scoreBaltimore Ravens 24 — Atlanta Falcons 20

Baltimore Ravens is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Baltimore Ravens

63%

to win

Atlanta Falcons

37%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Baltimore Ravens
vs
Atlanta Falcons
#12Offense · EPA/play#24
#20Defense · EPA/play#15
#13Success rate#18

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Baltimore Ravens leads 5–2

Last met 2022 · Baltimore Ravens 17–9 Atlanta Falcons— Baltimore Ravens won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Baltimore Ravens is hearing

What Atlanta Falcons is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.