Week 5 · NFL

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Los Angeles Chargers a 57% chance to beat Denver Broncos in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

@

#11 AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

67% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadLos Angeles Chargers −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreDenver Broncos 21 — Los Angeles Chargers 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Los Angeles Chargers by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Denver Broncos

43%

to win

Los Angeles Chargers

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Denver Broncos
vs
Los Angeles Chargers
#10Offense · EPA/play#25
#6Defense · EPA/play#7
#16Success rate#19

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

55 meetings since 1999

Denver Broncos leads 32–23

Last met 2025 · Denver Broncos 19–3 Los Angeles Chargers— Denver Broncos won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Denver Broncos is hearing

What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing

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