Week 6 · NFL

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 57% chance to beat Los Angeles Chargers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#11 AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

67% to make the playoffs

@

#8 AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

80% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadKansas City Chiefs −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreLos Angeles Chargers 21Kansas City Chiefs 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Kansas City Chiefs by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Los Angeles Chargers

43%

to win

Kansas City Chiefs

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Los Angeles Chargers
vs
Kansas City Chiefs
#25Offense · EPA/play#11
#7Defense · EPA/play#12
#19Success rate#14

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Kansas City Chiefs leads 31–23

Last met 2025 · Kansas City Chiefs 1316 Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing

What Kansas City Chiefs is hearing

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