Week 12 · NFL

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Los Angeles Chargers a 60% chance to beat New England Patriots in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

@

#11 AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

67% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadLos Angeles Chargers −3.5Model
Projected scoreNew England Patriots 20Los Angeles Chargers 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Los Angeles Chargers by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP
80/ 100
CalmMayhem

New England Patriots

40%

to win

Los Angeles Chargers

60%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New England Patriots
vs
Los Angeles Chargers
#1Offense · EPA/play#25
#11Defense · EPA/play#7
#3Success rate#19

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 12–5

Last met 2025 · New England Patriots 163 Los Angeles ChargersNew England Patriots won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New England Patriots is hearing

What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing

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