Week 18 · NFL

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 82% chance to beat Las Vegas Raiders in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#29 AFC West

Las Vegas Raiders

3% to make the playoffs

@

#8 AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

80% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadKansas City Chiefs −12.5Model
Projected scoreLas Vegas Raiders 16 — Kansas City Chiefs 28

Kansas City Chiefs should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 82% to win.

Chaos meter35 · LEAN
35/ 100
CalmMayhem

Las Vegas Raiders

18%

to win

Kansas City Chiefs

82%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Las Vegas Raiders
vs
Kansas City Chiefs
#32Offense · EPA/play#11
#21Defense · EPA/play#12
#30Success rate#14

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Kansas City Chiefs leads 35–19

Last met 2025 · Las Vegas Raiders 14–12 Kansas City Chiefs— Las Vegas Raiders won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Las Vegas Raiders is hearing

What Kansas City Chiefs is hearing

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