Week 0 · College Football

Memphis vs UNLV prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives UNLV a 59% chance to beat Memphis in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

@

#76 Mountain West Conference

UNLV

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUNLV −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreMemphis 24UNLV 28

A coin flip. The model nudges UNLV by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Memphis

41%

to win

UNLV

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Memphis
vs
UNLV
#24Offense · EPA/play#17
#78Defense · EPA/play#112
#33Explosiveness#14
#39Success rate#23
12%Returning production15%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

Memphis leads 1–0

Last met 2026 · UNLV 2127 MemphisMemphis won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Memphis is hearing

What UNLV is hearing

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