Week 0 · College Football

NC State vs Virginia prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Virginia a 59% chance to beat NC State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#51 Atlantic Coast Conference

NC State

11% to make the 12

@

#43 Atlantic Coast Conference

Virginia

11% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadVirginia −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreNC State 24Virginia 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Virginia by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

NC State

41%

to win

Virginia

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
NC State
vs
Virginia
#27Offense · EPA/play#61
#92Defense · EPA/play#23
#9Explosiveness#46
#67Success rate#80
95%Returning production28%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

61 meetings all-time

NC State leads 38–23

Last met 2026 · Virginia 348 NC StateVirginia won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What NC State is hearing

What Virginia is hearing

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