Mountain West Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives San José St a 0% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
0%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
0% → 0%
Our rank
#118
of 136
Projected field
Outside
Conference title
9%
National title
0%
Most likely record 4-7 (26% likely) across the 11 games we rate, averaging 4.2 wins. The toughest game left is at USC (2% to win). 2 other games are against a non-FBS opponent we don't rate.
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
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