← Week 6 predictions

Playoff impact · Week 6

Updated Aug 30, 2026

The games that actually matter

8 of the 56 college football games in Week 6 would change who makes our projected 12-team playoff field, led by Georgia at Alabama. Updated August 29, 2026.

Measured, not asserted: we build the projected field twice for every game — once with each side winning — and count the spots that change. That's why a game between two teams who are both getting in anyway can rank below one that swings a conference title.

Changes who gets in

  • Georgia at Alabama2 spots swing · 48% home

    If Alabama wins
    Alabama make the field

    If Georgia wins
    Michigan make the field

  • Texas at Oklahoma2 spots swing · 31% home

    If Oklahoma wins
    Oklahoma make the field

    If Texas wins
    Michigan make the field

  • Texas A&M at Missouri2 spots swing · 38% home

    If Missouri wins
    Ole Miss make the field

    If Texas A&M wins
    Texas A&M make the field

  • USC at Penn State2 spots swing · 43% home

    If Penn State wins
    Ole Miss make the field

    If USC wins
    USC make the field

  • Ole Miss at Vanderbilt2 spots swing · 35% home

    If Vanderbilt wins
    Michigan make the field

    If Ole Miss wins
    Ole Miss make the field

  • Iowa State at BYU2 spots swing · 84% home

    If BYU wins
    BYU make the field

    If Iowa State wins
    Texas Tech make the field

  • Tulane at Army2 spots swing · 51% home

    If Army wins
    Boise State make the field

    If Tulane wins
    Tulane make the field

  • Boise State at Fresno State2 spots swing · 43% home

    If Fresno State wins
    Tulane make the field

    If Boise State wins
    Boise State make the field

Moves the seeding

Same twelve teams either way, but the bracket order changes.