Premier League · 2026/27
Arsenal FC
Projected 2nd · 80 pts
The Ninjas' projection
Win title
49%
Top 4 (UCL)
96%
Relegation
<1%
Exp. points
80
avg finish 1.9
Our title odds call · month by month
▲5Pre 44% → 49%
Pre 44%Aug 49%Sep 49%
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Where does Arsenal finish? The Ninjas project 2nd.
Tap a spot to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
2026/27 fixtures · model win probability
Each match, from Arsenal's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.
- MD1H
Coventry City3-0 - MD2A
Aston Villa1-0 - MD3H
Chelsea57% / 23% / 20% - MD4A
Sunderland45% / 27% / 28% - MD5A
Brighton Hove41% / 27% / 32% - MD6H
Leeds United60% / 22% / 18% - MD7A
Nottingham44% / 26% / 29% - MD8H
Everton58% / 23% / 19% - MD9A
Liverpool41% / 26% / 33% - MD10H
Hull City68% / 19% / 13% - MD11A
Newcastle44% / 26% / 30% - MD12H
Man City45% / 26% / 29% - MD13A
Brentford43% / 26% / 31% - MD14A
Tottenham46% / 26% / 28% - MD15H
Bournemouth57% / 23% / 20% - MD16H
Man United53% / 23% / 23% - MD17A
Crystal Palace46% / 27% / 27% - MD18A
Fulham45% / 26% / 29% - MD19H
Ipswich Town68% / 19% / 13% - MD20HBrentford57% / 23% / 20%
- MD21AHull City54% / 24% / 22%
- MD22HNewcastle59% / 22% / 19%
- MD23AMan City32% / 26% / 42%
- MD24HLiverpool56% / 23% / 21%
- MD25AIpswich Town54% / 24% / 22%
- MD26HFulham59% / 23% / 18%
- MD27AMan United39% / 25% / 36%
- MD28HCrystal Palace60% / 23% / 17%
- MD29AChelsea42% / 26% / 32%
- MD30HSunderland59% / 24% / 18%
- MD31ACoventry City54% / 24% / 22%
- MD32HAston Villa56% / 24% / 21%
- MD33ABournemouth43% / 26% / 32%
- MD34HTottenham61% / 22% / 17%
- MD35ALeeds United46% / 26% / 28%
- MD36HNottingham58% / 23% / 19%
- MD37AEverton44% / 27% / 29%
- MD38HBrighton Hove55% / 24% / 21%
Win / draw / loss from Arsenal's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.
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