Premier League · 2026/27
Manchester United FC
Projected 5th · 67 pts
The Ninjas' projection
Win title
4%
Top 4 (UCL)
52%
Relegation
<1%
Exp. points
67
avg finish 4.7
Our title odds call · month by month
▼4Pre 8% → 4%
Pre 8%Aug 4%Sep 4%
Call the Finish
Where does Man United finish? The Ninjas project 5th.
Tap a spot to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
2026/27 fixtures · model win probability
Each match, from Man United's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.
- MD1A
Hull City0-2 - MD2H
Ipswich Town5-2 - MD3A
Everton37% / 25% / 38% - MD4H
Man City38% / 24% / 38% - MD5A
Fulham37% / 25% / 38% - MD6H
Tottenham54% / 23% / 23% - MD7A
Leeds United38% / 25% / 37% - MD8H
Bournemouth50% / 23% / 27% - MD9A
Chelsea34% / 24% / 41% - MD10H
Aston Villa49% / 24% / 28% - MD11A
Liverpool33% / 24% / 43% - MD12H
Brentford50% / 23% / 27% - MD13A
Newcastle37% / 24% / 39% - MD14H
Coventry City61% / 21% / 18% - MD15A
Crystal Palace39% / 26% / 36% - MD16A
Arsenal23% / 23% / 53% - MD17H
Nottingham51% / 24% / 25% - MD18H
Sunderland52% / 24% / 24% - MD19A
Brighton Hove34% / 25% / 41% - MD20HNewcastle52% / 23% / 25%
- MD21AAston Villa34% / 25% / 42%
- MD22HLiverpool48% / 23% / 28%
- MD23ABrentford35% / 24% / 40%
- MD24HChelsea49% / 23% / 27%
- MD25HBrighton Hove48% / 24% / 27%
- MD26ANottingham37% / 25% / 38%
- MD27HArsenal36% / 25% / 39%
- MD28ASunderland37% / 26% / 37%
- MD29HEverton51% / 24% / 25%
- MD30AMan City24% / 23% / 53%
- MD31HHull City61% / 21% / 18%
- MD32AIpswich Town46% / 24% / 30%
- MD33HCrystal Palace53% / 24% / 23%
- MD34ACoventry City46% / 24% / 30%
- MD35ABournemouth35% / 24% / 41%
- MD36HLeeds United53% / 23% / 24%
- MD37ATottenham39% / 25% / 37%
- MD38HFulham52% / 24% / 25%
Win / draw / loss from Man United's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.
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