Premier League · 2026/27
Manchester City FC
Projected 2nd · 77 pts
The Ninjas' projection
Win title
33%
Top 4 (UCL)
92%
Relegation
<1%
Exp. points
77
avg finish 2.3
Our title odds call · month by month
▲5Pre 29% → 33%
Pre 29%Aug 33%Sep 33%
Call the Finish
Where does Man City finish? The Ninjas project 2nd.
Tap a spot to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
2026/27 fixtures · model win probability
Each match, from Man City's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.
- MD1H
Bournemouth2-1 - MD2A
Crystal Palace4-1 - MD3H
Coventry City68% / 19% / 14% - MD4A
Man United38% / 24% / 38% - MD5H
Sunderland58% / 23% / 19% - MD6A
Liverpool40% / 25% / 35% - MD7H
Ipswich Town68% / 19% / 14% - MD8A
Aston Villa41% / 25% / 34% - MD9H
Brighton Hove55% / 23% / 22% - MD10A
Nottingham44% / 25% / 31% - MD11H
Fulham58% / 22% / 19% - MD12A
Arsenal29% / 26% / 45% - MD13H
Leeds United60% / 22% / 19% - MD14A
Brentford42% / 25% / 33% - MD15H
Chelsea56% / 22% / 21% - MD16H
Hull City68% / 19% / 14% - MD17A
Newcastle44% / 25% / 32% - MD18A
Everton43% / 26% / 31% - MD19H
Tottenham60% / 21% / 18% - MD20ALeeds United45% / 25% / 30%
- MD21HNottingham58% / 22% / 19%
- MD22ABrighton Hove41% / 26% / 34%
- MD23HArsenal42% / 26% / 32%
- MD24AFulham44% / 25% / 31%
- MD25ATottenham46% / 25% / 29%
- MD26HNewcastle59% / 22% / 20%
- MD27AHull City53% / 23% / 23%
- MD28HEverton58% / 23% / 19%
- MD29ACoventry City53% / 23% / 23%
- MD30HMan United53% / 23% / 24%
- MD31ABournemouth42% / 25% / 33%
- MD32HCrystal Palace60% / 22% / 18%
- MD33AChelsea41% / 25% / 34%
- MD34HBrentford57% / 22% / 21%
- MD35HLiverpool55% / 22% / 22%
- MD36AIpswich Town53% / 23% / 23%
- MD37HAston Villa55% / 23% / 22%
- MD38ASunderland44% / 26% / 30%
Win / draw / loss from Man City's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.
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