Premier League · 2026/27
Liverpool FC
Projected 4th · 69 pts
The Ninjas' projection
Win title
6%
Top 4 (UCL)
61%
Relegation
<1%
Exp. points
69
avg finish 4.3
Our title odds call · month by month
▼6Pre 12% → 6%
Pre 12%Aug 5%Sep 6%
Call the Finish
Where does Liverpool finish? The Ninjas project 4th.
Tap a spot to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
2026/27 fixtures · model win probability
Each match, from Liverpool's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.
- MD1A
Newcastle2-2 - MD2H
Nottingham2-2 - MD3A
Ipswich Town43% / 25% / 32% - MD4H
Fulham49% / 24% / 27% - MD5A
Bournemouth32% / 24% / 43% - MD6H
Man City35% / 25% / 40% - MD7A
Brentford33% / 24% / 43% - MD8H
Brighton Hove46% / 25% / 30% - MD9H
Arsenal33% / 26% / 41% - MD10A
Crystal Palace36% / 26% / 38% - MD11H
Man United43% / 24% / 33% - MD12A
Everton34% / 25% / 41% - MD13H
Sunderland49% / 25% / 26% - MD14A
Chelsea32% / 24% / 44% - MD15H
Leeds United50% / 24% / 26% - MD16H
Tottenham51% / 23% / 26% - MD17A
Hull City43% / 25% / 32% - MD18A
Aston Villa31% / 24% / 44% - MD19H
Coventry City58% / 22% / 20% - MD20ASunderland35% / 26% / 39%
- MD21HCrystal Palace51% / 24% / 25%
- MD22AMan United28% / 23% / 48%
- MD23HEverton48% / 24% / 27%
- MD24AArsenal21% / 23% / 56%
- MD25ACoventry City43% / 25% / 32%
- MD26HHull City58% / 22% / 20%
- MD27ATottenham36% / 25% / 39%
- MD28HAston Villa46% / 24% / 30%
- MD29HIpswich Town58% / 22% / 20%
- MD30AFulham34% / 25% / 40%
- MD31HNewcastle49% / 24% / 28%
- MD32ANottingham34% / 25% / 41%
- MD33ALeeds United36% / 25% / 40%
- MD34HChelsea46% / 24% / 30%
- MD35AMan City22% / 22% / 55%
- MD36HBrentford47% / 24% / 29%
- MD37ABrighton Hove32% / 25% / 43%
- MD38HBournemouth47% / 24% / 29%
Win / draw / loss from Liverpool's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.
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