Premier League · 2026/27
Aston Villa FC
Projected 9th · 56 pts
The Ninjas' projection
Win title
<1%
Top 4 (UCL)
6%
Relegation
1%
Exp. points
56
avg finish 8.8
Our title odds call · month by month
▼0Pre 0% → 0%
Pre 0%Aug 0%Sep 0%
Call the Finish
Where does Aston Villa finish? The Ninjas project 9th.
Tap a spot to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
2026/27 fixtures · model win probability
Each match, from Aston Villa's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.
- MD1A
Brighton Hove0-4 - MD2H
Arsenal0-1 - MD3A
Hull City42% / 25% / 32% - MD4H
Nottingham47% / 25% / 28% - MD5A
Tottenham35% / 26% / 39% - MD6H
Brentford46% / 25% / 29% - MD7A
Newcastle33% / 25% / 42% - MD8H
Man City34% / 25% / 41% - MD9H
Fulham47% / 25% / 27% - MD10A
Man United28% / 24% / 49% - MD11H
Sunderland48% / 26% / 27% - MD12A
Ipswich Town42% / 25% / 32% - MD13H
Everton47% / 25% / 28% - MD14H
Crystal Palace49% / 25% / 26% - MD15A
Coventry City42% / 25% / 32% - MD16A
Chelsea31% / 25% / 44% - MD17H
Leeds United49% / 24% / 27% - MD18H
Liverpool44% / 24% / 31% - MD19A
Bournemouth32% / 25% / 44% - MD20AEverton33% / 26% / 41%
- MD21HMan United42% / 25% / 34%
- MD22AFulham33% / 26% / 41%
- MD23HIpswich Town57% / 23% / 21%
- MD24ASunderland34% / 27% / 39%
- MD25HBournemouth46% / 25% / 30%
- MD26ALeeds United35% / 26% / 40%
- MD27HChelsea45% / 25% / 30%
- MD28ALiverpool30% / 24% / 46%
- MD29HHull City57% / 23% / 21%
- MD30ANottingham33% / 26% / 41%
- MD31HBrighton Hove44% / 26% / 30%
- MD32AArsenal21% / 24% / 56%
- MD33HCoventry City57% / 23% / 21%
- MD34ACrystal Palace35% / 27% / 38%
- MD35ABrentford32% / 25% / 43%
- MD36HNewcastle47% / 25% / 28%
- MD37AMan City22% / 23% / 55%
- MD38HTottenham49% / 24% / 26%
Win / draw / loss from Aston Villa's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.
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