Atlantic Coast Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Miami a 57% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff, down 1 percentage points from the previous projection. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
57%
▼ -1 pts since the previous projection
Since preseason
57% → 57%
Our rank
#6
of 136
Projected field
In · seed 7
Conference title
50%
National title
6%
Most likely record 10-1 (42% likely) across the 11 games we rate, averaging 9.4 wins. The toughest game left is at Notre Dame (20% to win). 1 other game is against a non-FBS opponent we don't rate.
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.