FBS Independent · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Notre Dame a 82% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
82%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
82% → 82%
Our rank
#1
of 136
Projected field
In · seed 4
Conference title
100%
National title
22%
Most likely record 12-0 (52% likely) across the 12 games we rate, averaging 11.4 wins. The toughest game left is vs Miami (80% to win).
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
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