Pac-12 Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Oregon St a 1% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
1%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
1% → 1%
Our rank
#119
of 136
Projected field
Outside
Conference title
41%
National title
0%
Most likely record 3-7 (29% likely) across the 10 games we rate, averaging 2.8 wins. The toughest game left is vs Texas Tech (4% to win). 1 other game is against a non-FBS opponent we don't rate.
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
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