Sun Belt Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects James Madison to finish 9-2 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 31%, averaging 8.8 wins across 11 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
9-2
31% likely
Expected wins
8.8
11 rated games
Vegas win total
—
no line posted
Model vs market
—
Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
at Old Dominion
Week 4 · 54% to win
Easiest game
vs Georgia St
Week 7 · 95% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.