Big Ten Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Michigan a 31% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
31%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
31% → 31%
Our rank
#7
of 136
Projected field
In · seed 10
Conference title
7%
National title
3%
Most likely record 8-4 (29% likely) across the 12 games we rate, averaging 8.3 wins. The toughest game left is at Oregon (20% to win).
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
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