Big Ten Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Oregon a 65% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff, up 1 percentage points from the previous projection. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
65%
▲ +1 pts since the previous projection
Since preseason
65% → 65%
Our rank
#3
of 136
Projected field
In · seed 2
Conference title
25%
National title
12%
Most likely record 10-1 (34% likely) across the 11 games we rate, averaging 9.3 wins. The toughest game left is at Ohio State (46% to win). 1 other game is against a non-FBS opponent we don't rate.
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
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