Southeastern Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Florida a 18% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
18%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
18% → 18%
Our rank
#20
of 136
Projected field
Outside
Conference title
5%
National title
1%
Most likely record 6-5 (25% likely) across the 11 games we rate, averaging 6.3 wins. The toughest game left is at Texas (19% to win). 1 other game is against a non-FBS opponent we don't rate.
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
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