Birmingham City FC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Birmingham's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1ASheffield Utd0-0
• MD2HBristol City2-2
• MD3AWrexham2-1
• MD4HSouthampton1-1
• MD5HWolverhampton49% / 26% / 25%
• MD6ANorwich31% / 27% / 43%
• MD7ADerby County31% / 26% / 43%
• MD8HMiddlesbrough36% / 27% / 37%
• MD9AWest Brom35% / 28% / 38%
• MD10HPreston43% / 27% / 30%
• MD11HQPR45% / 25% / 29%
• MD12ACardiff40% / 28% / 33%
• MD13ALincoln City40% / 28% / 33%
• MD14HMillwall38% / 28% / 35%
• MD15HSwansea42% / 27% / 31%
• MD16AStoke33% / 28% / 39%
• MD17ABurnley40% / 28% / 33%
• MD18HBolton49% / 26% / 25%
• MD19ACharlton36% / 28% / 36%
• MD20HWatford44% / 26% / 29%
• MD21APortsmouth36% / 27% / 37%
• MD22HWest Ham49% / 26% / 25%
• MD23ABlackburn35% / 28% / 36%
• MD24HCardiff49% / 26% / 25%
• MD25HPortsmouth45% / 27% / 28%
• MD26AQPR36% / 26% / 38%
• MD27HLincoln City49% / 26% / 25%
• MD28AMillwall29% / 27% / 44%
• MD29ASwansea33% / 27% / 40%
• MD30HStoke42% / 27% / 30%
• MD31HDerby County40% / 26% / 34%
• MD32APreston34% / 27% / 39%
• MD33AMiddlesbrough27% / 26% / 46%
• MD34HWest Brom43% / 27% / 29%
• MD35ABristol City32% / 27% / 41%
• MD36HSheffield Utd42% / 26% / 32%
• MD37ABolton40% / 28% / 33%
• MD38HCharlton44% / 27% / 28%
• MD39HBlackburn44% / 28% / 28%
• MD40AWest Ham40% / 28% / 33%
• MD41HNorwich40% / 27% / 34%
• MD42AWolverhampton40% / 28% / 33%
• MD43HWrexham41% / 26% / 33%
• MD44ASouthampton27% / 25% / 48%
• MD45AWatford35% / 27% / 38%
• MD46HBurnley49% / 26% / 25%

Win / draw / loss from Birmingham's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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