Burnley FC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Burnley's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1HWest Ham2-2
• MD2AWest Brom1-3
• MD3ANorwich1-4
• MD4HMiddlesbrough28% / 27% / 45%
• MD5HBristol City33% / 27% / 40%
• MD6AWrexham24% / 25% / 51%
• MD7ASwansea25% / 26% / 48%
• MD8HDerby County31% / 27% / 42%
• MD9AWatford28% / 27% / 46%
• MD10HCharlton36% / 29% / 35%
• MD11HWolverhampton40% / 28% / 32%
• MD12ALincoln City32% / 28% / 40%
• MD13HPortsmouth37% / 28% / 36%
• MD14AQPR28% / 26% / 47%
• MD15ACardiff32% / 28% / 40%
• MD16HBlackburn36% / 29% / 35%
• MD17HBirmingham33% / 28% / 40%
• MD18AMillwall22% / 26% / 52%
• MD19HPreston35% / 28% / 38%
• MD20ASouthampton20% / 23% / 56%
• MD21ASheffield Utd25% / 25% / 50%
• MD22HStoke34% / 28% / 38%
• MD23ABolton32% / 28% / 40%
• MD24HLincoln City40% / 28% / 32%
• MD25HSheffield Utd33% / 27% / 40%
• MD26AWolverhampton32% / 28% / 40%
• MD27APortsmouth28% / 27% / 44%
• MD28HQPR36% / 27% / 37%
• MD29HCardiff40% / 28% / 32%
• MD30ABlackburn28% / 28% / 44%
• MD31HSwansea33% / 28% / 39%
• MD32ACharlton28% / 28% / 44%
• MD33ADerby County23% / 25% / 51%
• MD34HWatford36% / 28% / 37%
• MD35HWest Brom35% / 28% / 36%
• MD36AWest Ham32% / 28% / 40%
• MD37HMillwall30% / 28% / 42%
• MD38APreston27% / 27% / 47%
• MD39HBolton40% / 28% / 32%
• MD40AStoke26% / 27% / 47%
• MD41HWrexham33% / 26% / 41%
• MD42ABristol City25% / 26% / 49%
• MD43HNorwich31% / 27% / 41%
• MD44AMiddlesbrough21% / 25% / 54%
• MD45HSouthampton28% / 26% / 47%
• MD46ABirmingham25% / 26% / 49%

Win / draw / loss from Burnley's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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