Middlesbrough FC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Middlesbrough's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1HLincoln City2-1
• MD2ABlackburn1-2
• MD3HWest Brom3-1
• MD4ABurnley45% / 27% / 28%
• MD5AQPR41% / 26% / 33%
• MD7HNorwich45% / 26% / 29%
• MD6HMillwall43% / 27% / 30%
• MD8ABirmingham37% / 27% / 36%
• MD9HWolverhampton54% / 25% / 21%
• MD10AStoke38% / 28% / 34%
• MD11HCardiff54% / 25% / 21%
• MD12ABolton45% / 27% / 28%
• MD13HCharlton50% / 26% / 24%
• MD14AWrexham37% / 26% / 37%
• MD15AWatford41% / 27% / 33%
• MD16HBristol City47% / 26% / 27%
• MD17HSwansea47% / 26% / 27%
• MD18ASouthampton32% / 26% / 42%
• MD19HDerby County45% / 26% / 29%
• MD20AWest Ham45% / 27% / 28%
• MD21APreston39% / 27% / 34%
• MD22HPortsmouth51% / 25% / 24%
• MD23ASheffield Utd38% / 26% / 36%
• MD24HBolton54% / 25% / 21%
• MD25HPreston49% / 26% / 26%
• MD26ACardiff45% / 27% / 28%
• MD27ACharlton41% / 28% / 31%
• MD28HWrexham47% / 25% / 28%
• MD29HWatford50% / 25% / 25%
• MD30ABristol City38% / 27% / 36%
• MD31ANorwich36% / 27% / 37%
• MD32HStoke48% / 26% / 26%
• MD33HBirmingham46% / 26% / 27%
• MD34AWolverhampton45% / 27% / 28%
• MD35HBlackburn50% / 27% / 24%
• MD36ALincoln City45% / 27% / 28%
• MD37HSouthampton41% / 26% / 33%
• MD38ADerby County36% / 26% / 38%
• MD39HSheffield Utd48% / 25% / 27%
• MD40APortsmouth41% / 27% / 32%
• MD41AMillwall34% / 27% / 38%
• MD42HQPR51% / 24% / 25%
• MD43AWest Brom40% / 28% / 33%
• MD44HBurnley54% / 25% / 21%
• MD45HWest Ham54% / 25% / 21%
• MD46ASwansea38% / 27% / 35%

Win / draw / loss from Middlesbrough's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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