Swansea City AFC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Swansea's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1AStoke2-1
• MD2HSheffield Utd0-0
• MD3ADerby County3-0
• MD4HWatford2-0
• MD5HWrexham40% / 26% / 34%
• MD6ASouthampton26% / 25% / 49%
• MD7HBurnley48% / 26% / 25%
• MD8ALincoln City39% / 28% / 33%
• MD9HNorwich39% / 27% / 34%
• MD10AMillwall29% / 27% / 45%
• MD11HWest Ham48% / 26% / 25%
• MD12AQPR35% / 26% / 39%
• MD13HBlackburn44% / 28% / 29%
• MD14APortsmouth35% / 27% / 38%
• MD15ABirmingham31% / 27% / 42%
• MD16HWest Brom43% / 27% / 30%
• MD17AMiddlesbrough27% / 26% / 47%
• MD18HCardiff48% / 26% / 25%
• MD19ABristol City32% / 27% / 42%
• MD20HBolton48% / 26% / 25%
• MD21ACharlton35% / 28% / 37%
• MD22HPreston42% / 27% / 31%
• MD23AWolverhampton39% / 28% / 33%
• MD24HQPR44% / 25% / 30%
• MD25HCharlton44% / 27% / 29%
• MD26AWest Ham39% / 28% / 33%
• MD27ABlackburn35% / 28% / 37%
• MD28HPortsmouth44% / 27% / 29%
• MD29HBirmingham40% / 27% / 33%
• MD30AWest Brom34% / 28% / 38%
• MD31ABurnley39% / 28% / 33%
• MD32HMillwall37% / 27% / 36%
• MD33HLincoln City48% / 26% / 25%
• MD34ANorwich30% / 26% / 44%
• MD35ASheffield Utd32% / 26% / 42%
• MD36HStoke42% / 27% / 31%
• MD37ACardiff39% / 28% / 33%
• MD38HBristol City41% / 27% / 33%
• MD39HWolverhampton48% / 26% / 25%
• MD40APreston33% / 27% / 40%
• MD41HSouthampton35% / 26% / 39%
• MD42AWrexham31% / 25% / 43%
• MD43HDerby County39% / 26% / 35%
• MD44AWatford35% / 27% / 39%
• MD45ABolton39% / 28% / 33%
• MD46HMiddlesbrough35% / 27% / 38%

Win / draw / loss from Swansea's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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