Wrexham AFC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Wrexham's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1ACardiff1-1
• MD2HWatford1-1
• MD3HBirmingham1-2
• MD4AMillwall30% / 26% / 44%
• MD5ASwansea34% / 26% / 40%
• MD6HBurnley51% / 25% / 24%
• MD7AWest Ham41% / 26% / 33%
• MD8HSouthampton37% / 25% / 38%
• MD9ADerby County32% / 25% / 43%
• MD10HWest Brom45% / 26% / 29%
• MD11HPreston45% / 25% / 30%
• MD12ABlackburn37% / 27% / 36%
• MD13ASheffield Utd34% / 25% / 41%
• MD14HMiddlesbrough37% / 26% / 37%
• MD15HWolverhampton51% / 25% / 24%
• MD16ALincoln City41% / 26% / 33%
• MD17ABristol City34% / 26% / 41%
• MD18HPortsmouth47% / 25% / 28%
• MD19ANorwich32% / 25% / 43%
• MD20HCharlton46% / 26% / 28%
• MD21ABolton41% / 26% / 33%
• MD22HQPR47% / 24% / 29%
• MD23AStoke35% / 26% / 39%
• MD24HBlackburn46% / 26% / 28%
• MD25HBolton51% / 25% / 24%
• MD26APreston35% / 26% / 39%
• MD27HSheffield Utd44% / 25% / 32%
• MD28AMiddlesbrough28% / 25% / 47%
• MD29AWolverhampton41% / 26% / 33%
• MD30HLincoln City51% / 25% / 24%
• MD31HWest Ham51% / 25% / 24%
• MD32AWest Brom36% / 26% / 38%
• MD33ASouthampton28% / 24% / 48%
• MD34HDerby County41% / 25% / 34%
• MD35AWatford37% / 26% / 38%
• MD36HCardiff51% / 25% / 24%
• MD37APortsmouth37% / 26% / 37%
• MD38HNorwich41% / 25% / 33%
• MD39HStoke44% / 26% / 30%
• MD40AQPR37% / 25% / 38%
• MD41ABurnley41% / 26% / 33%
• MD42HSwansea43% / 25% / 31%
• MD43ABirmingham33% / 26% / 41%
• MD44HMillwall39% / 26% / 35%
• MD45ACharlton37% / 27% / 36%
• MD46HBristol City43% / 25% / 32%

Win / draw / loss from Wrexham's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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