Watford FC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Watford's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1HSouthampton2-1
• MD2AWrexham1-1
• MD3HWest Ham1-1
• MD4ASwansea0-2
• MD5AWest Brom32% / 27% / 41%
• MD6HPreston40% / 27% / 33%
• MD7HStoke39% / 27% / 34%
• MD8ABristol City29% / 26% / 44%
• MD9HBurnley46% / 27% / 28%
• MD10ACardiff37% / 28% / 36%
• MD11HCharlton41% / 28% / 31%
• MD12AWolverhampton37% / 28% / 36%
• MD13ANorwich28% / 26% / 46%
• MD14HLincoln City46% / 27% / 28%
• MD15HMiddlesbrough33% / 27% / 41%
• MD16ASheffield Utd30% / 25% / 45%
• MD17HBlackburn41% / 28% / 31%
• MD18ADerby County28% / 25% / 47%
• MD19HMillwall35% / 27% / 38%
• MD20ABirmingham29% / 26% / 44%
• MD21AQPR32% / 25% / 42%
• MD22HBolton46% / 27% / 28%
• MD23APortsmouth33% / 27% / 40%
• MD24HWolverhampton46% / 27% / 28%
• MD25HQPR42% / 26% / 33%
• MD26ACharlton33% / 28% / 40%
• MD27HNorwich36% / 27% / 37%
• MD28ALincoln City37% / 28% / 36%
• MD29AMiddlesbrough25% / 25% / 50%
• MD30HSheffield Utd39% / 26% / 36%
• MD31AStoke30% / 27% / 43%
• MD32HCardiff46% / 27% / 28%
• MD33HBristol City38% / 27% / 35%
• MD34ABurnley37% / 28% / 36%
• MD35HWrexham38% / 26% / 37%
• MD36ASouthampton24% / 24% / 52%
• MD37HDerby County36% / 26% / 37%
• MD38AMillwall26% / 26% / 47%
• MD39HPortsmouth42% / 27% / 31%
• MD40ABolton37% / 28% / 36%
• MD41APreston31% / 26% / 43%
• MD42HWest Brom40% / 27% / 32%
• MD43AWest Ham37% / 28% / 36%
• MD44HSwansea39% / 27% / 35%
• MD45HBirmingham38% / 27% / 35%
• MD46ABlackburn33% / 28% / 39%

Win / draw / loss from Watford's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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