Cardiff City FC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Cardiff's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1HWrexham1-1
• MD2ADerby County2-2
• MD3HSheffield Utd2-2
• MD4AQPR28% / 26% / 47%
• MD5APortsmouth28% / 27% / 44%
• MD6HStoke34% / 28% / 38%
• MD7ABolton32% / 28% / 40%
• MD8HCharlton36% / 29% / 35%
• MD9ABlackburn28% / 28% / 44%
• MD10HWatford36% / 28% / 37%
• MD11AMiddlesbrough21% / 25% / 54%
• MD12HBirmingham33% / 28% / 40%
• MD13AWolverhampton32% / 28% / 40%
• MD14HWest Ham40% / 28% / 32%
• MD15HBurnley40% / 28% / 32%
• MD16ANorwich24% / 26% / 51%
• MD17HPreston35% / 28% / 38%
• MD18ASwansea25% / 26% / 48%
• MD19HLincoln City40% / 28% / 32%
• MD20AWest Brom27% / 28% / 45%
• MD21HSouthampton28% / 26% / 47%
• MD22ABristol City25% / 26% / 49%
• MD23HMillwall30% / 28% / 42%
• MD24ABirmingham25% / 26% / 49%
• MD25ASouthampton20% / 23% / 56%
• MD26HMiddlesbrough28% / 27% / 45%
• MD27HWolverhampton40% / 28% / 32%
• MD28AWest Ham32% / 28% / 40%
• MD29ABurnley32% / 28% / 40%
• MD30HNorwich31% / 27% / 41%
• MD31HBolton40% / 28% / 32%
• MD32AWatford28% / 27% / 46%
• MD33ACharlton28% / 28% / 44%
• MD34HBlackburn36% / 29% / 35%
• MD35HDerby County31% / 27% / 42%
• MD36AWrexham24% / 25% / 51%
• MD37HSwansea33% / 28% / 39%
• MD38ALincoln City32% / 28% / 40%
• MD39AMillwall22% / 26% / 52%
• MD40HBristol City33% / 27% / 40%
• MD41AStoke26% / 27% / 47%
• MD42HPortsmouth37% / 28% / 36%
• MD43ASheffield Utd25% / 25% / 50%
• MD44HQPR36% / 27% / 37%
• MD45HWest Brom35% / 28% / 36%
• MD46APreston27% / 27% / 47%

Win / draw / loss from Cardiff's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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