Queens Park Rangers FC

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from QPR's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1APortsmouth3-1
• MD2HBolton0-0
• MD3ABlackburn2-1
• MD4HCardiff47% / 26% / 28%
• MD5HMiddlesbrough33% / 26% / 41%
• MD6ACharlton33% / 27% / 40%
• MD7AWest Brom32% / 26% / 42%
• MD8HPreston41% / 26% / 34%
• MD9AWest Ham37% / 27% / 36%
• MD10HDerby County37% / 25% / 38%
• MD11ABirmingham29% / 25% / 45%
• MD12HSwansea39% / 26% / 35%
• MD13ASouthampton24% / 23% / 53%
• MD14HBurnley47% / 26% / 28%
• MD15HLincoln City47% / 26% / 28%
• MD16AMillwall27% / 25% / 48%
• MD17ANorwich28% / 25% / 47%
• MD18HSheffield Utd39% / 25% / 36%
• MD19AStoke31% / 26% / 43%
• MD20HWolverhampton47% / 26% / 28%
• MD21HWatford42% / 25% / 32%
• MD22AWrexham29% / 24% / 47%
• MD23HBristol City39% / 26% / 35%
• MD24ASwansea30% / 25% / 44%
• MD25AWatford33% / 26% / 42%
• MD26HBirmingham38% / 26% / 36%
• MD27HSouthampton33% / 25% / 43%
• MD28ABurnley37% / 27% / 36%
• MD29ALincoln City37% / 27% / 36%
• MD30HMillwall35% / 26% / 39%
• MD31HWest Brom41% / 26% / 32%
• MD32ADerby County28% / 24% / 48%
• MD33APreston32% / 25% / 43%
• MD34HWest Ham47% / 26% / 28%
• MD35ABolton37% / 27% / 36%
• MD36HPortsmouth43% / 26% / 31%
• MD37ASheffield Utd30% / 24% / 46%
• MD38HStoke40% / 26% / 34%
• MD39ABristol City30% / 25% / 45%
• MD40HWrexham38% / 25% / 37%
• MD41HCharlton42% / 26% / 31%
• MD42AMiddlesbrough25% / 24% / 51%
• MD43HBlackburn42% / 27% / 31%
• MD44ACardiff37% / 27% / 36%
• MD45AWolverhampton37% / 27% / 36%
• MD46HNorwich37% / 26% / 37%

Win / draw / loss from QPR's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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