#104 Mid-American Conference

C Michigan

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does C Michigan win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#90

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ New Mexico34%
W2vs Colgate89%
W3vs Wyoming70%
W4@ Miami2%
W5vs Akron71%
W6@ Ohio42%
W7vs W Michigan42%
W8vs Miami (OH)45%
W10vs E Michigan59%
W11vs Sacramento State89%
W12@ Buffalo52%
W13@ Ball State71%

Chaos meter27 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Miami → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 3%
Win conference: 9%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ New Mexico· W134% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where C Michigan finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#100

-8.8 · off #120 / def #65

Talent composite

#121

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#113

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

10%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#120

EPA / play#88
Success rate#91
Explosiveness#119

Defense#65

EPA / play#33
Success rate#52

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

2.7★ avg

Portal out

2.9★ avg

Net

-5

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.