Big Ten Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Michigan State a 2% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
2%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
2% → 2%
Our rank
#61
of 136
Projected field
Outside
Conference title
0%
National title
0%
Most likely record 4-8 (26% likely) across the 12 games we rate, averaging 4.5 wins. The toughest game left is at Notre Dame (2% to win).
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
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