#4 Big Ten Conference

Indiana

Projected 10–2 · 10 proj. wins

Playoff:IN

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Indiana win? The Ninjas project 10.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

63%

Title

10%

Win conf

25%

SOS

#28

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs North Texas94%
W2vs Howard>99%
W3vs Western Kentucky98%
W4vs Northwestern95%
W5@ Rutgers94%
W6@ Nebraska86%
W7vs Ohio State58%
W8@ Michigan64%
W9vs Minnesota95%
W11vs USC78%
W12@ Washington79%
W13vs Purdue98%

Chaos meter59 · HEATING UP

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → a top-four seed and a first-round bye.
RISKLose to Ohio State → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSTwo losses → now you'd need chaos elsewhere.

Full odds

Make the 12: 63%
16-team field: 72%
24-team field: 82%
Win conference: 25%
National title: 10%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 63% → 63%

Pre 63%Aug 63%

Up next

vs North Texas· W194% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Indiana finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

+32.4 · off #2 / def #2

Talent composite

#72

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#47

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

25%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#2

EPA / play#5
Success rate#3
Explosiveness#74

Defense#2

EPA / play#7
Success rate#6

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.