#10 Southeastern Conference

Texas A&M

Projected 8–4 · 8 proj. wins

Playoff:IN

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Texas A&M win? The Ninjas project 8.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

31%

Title

Win conf

10%

SOS

#15

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Missouri St97%
W2vs Arizona State83%
W3vs Kentucky88%
W4@ LSU45%
W5vs Arkansas87%
W6@ Missouri64%
W7vs The Citadel99%
W8@ Alabama46%
W10@ South Carolina65%
W11vs Tennessee70%
W12@ Oklahoma49%
W13vs Texas42%

Chaos meter70 · HEATING UP

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSTwo losses → now you'd need chaos elsewhere.

Full odds

Make the 12: 31%
16-team field: 41%
24-team field: 54%
Win conference: 10%
National title: 3%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 31% → 31%

Pre 31%Aug 31%

Up next

vs Missouri St· W197% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Texas A&M finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

+20.7 · off #11 / def #14

Talent composite

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

75%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#11

EPA / play#29
Success rate#32
Explosiveness#70

Defense#14

EPA / play#55
Success rate#5

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.2★ avg

Portal out

3.3★ avg

Net

-2

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.