The market
2026 NFL win totals
Each team's posted season win total next to our projection. The model is anchored to the market, so they track closely — the playoff and Super Bowl odds on the board are where the model goes to work.
Team
Vegas
Proj
Playoff
Posted game lines
The early matchups books have already priced (77 games). The rest open week to week.
Wk 1Chicago Bears @ Carolina PanthersChicago Bears -2.5O/U 44.5
Wk 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati BengalsCincinnati Bengals -3.5O/U 50.5
Wk 1New Orleans Saints @ Detroit LionsDetroit Lions -7.0O/U 48.5
Wk 1Buffalo Bills @ Houston TexansBuffalo Bills -1.5O/U 45.5
Wk 1Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis ColtsBaltimore Ravens -3.5O/U 49.5
Wk 1Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville JaguarsJacksonville Jaguars -7.5O/U 40.5
Wk 1Denver Broncos @ Kansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs -2.5O/U 42.5
Wk 1San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams -3.0O/U 48.5
Wk 1Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers -11.5O/U 45.5
Wk 1Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders -3.0O/U 41.5
Wk 1Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota VikingsGreen Bay Packers -1.5O/U 44.5
Wk 1Dallas Cowboys @ New York GiantsDallas Cowboys -1.5O/U 48.5
Wk 1Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles -5.5O/U 46.5
Wk 1Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers -3.0O/U 42.5
Wk 1New England Patriots @ Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks -3.5O/U 44.5
Wk 1New York Jets @ Tennessee TitansTennessee Titans -3.0O/U 39.5
Wk 2Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona CardinalsSeattle Seahawks -10.0O/U 44.5
Wk 2Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons -1.5O/U 43.5
Wk 2New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens -7.5O/U 46.5
Wk 2Detroit Lions @ Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills -3.0O/U 52.5
Wk 2Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago BearsChicago Bears -3.5O/U 45.5
Wk 2Washington Commanders @ Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys -4.5O/U 51.5
Wk 2Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver BroncosDenver Broncos -3.0O/U 43.5
Wk 2Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston TexansHouston Texans -2.5O/U 46.5
Wk 2Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs -5.5O/U 47.5
Wk 2New York Giants @ Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams -9.5O/U 47.5
Wk 2Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers -8.5O/U 42.5
Wk 2Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England PatriotsNew England Patriots -4.5O/U 43.5
Wk 2Green Bay Packers @ New York JetsGreen Bay Packers -6.5O/U 42.5
Wk 2Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ersSan Francisco 49ers -10.5O/U 46.5
Wk 2Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5O/U 42.5
Wk 2Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee TitansPhiladelphia Eagles -4.5O/U 42.5
Wk 3Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills -2.5O/U 48.5
Wk 3Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago BearsChicago Bears -1.5O/U 46.5
Wk 3Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland BrownsCarolina Panthers -2.5O/U 40.5
Wk 3Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas CowboysBaltimore Ravens -2.5O/U 51.5
Wk 3Los Angeles Rams @ Denver BroncosLos Angeles Rams -3.0O/U 45.5
Wk 3New York Jets @ Detroit LionsDetroit Lions -9.5O/U 45.5
Wk 3Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay PackersGreen Bay Packers -7.5O/U 46.5
Wk 3Houston Texans @ Indianapolis ColtsHouston Texans -2.5O/U 45.5
Wk 3New England Patriots @ Jacksonville JaguarsJacksonville Jaguars -1.5O/U 45.5
Wk 3Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami DolphinsKansas City Chiefs -7.0O/U 44.5
Wk 3Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints -3.0O/U 42.5
Wk 3Tennessee Titans @ New York GiantsNew York Giants -3.0O/U 45.5
Wk 3Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Bengals -1.5O/U 47.5
Wk 3Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ersSan Francisco 49ers -11.5O/U 46.5
Wk 3Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5O/U 44.5
Wk 3Seattle Seahawks @ Washington CommandersSeattle Seahawks -3.5O/U 46.5
Wk 4Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens -8.5O/U 47.5
Wk 4New England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills -3.0O/U 49.5
Wk 4Detroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersDetroit Lions -3.0O/U 47.5
Wk 4New York Jets @ Chicago BearsChicago Bears -8.5O/U 45.5
Wk 4Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsCincinnati Bengals -2.5O/U 51.5
Wk 4Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland BrownsPittsburgh Steelers -3.0O/U 41.5
Wk 4Dallas Cowboys @ Houston TexansHouston Texans -2.5O/U 47.5
Wk 4Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersKansas City Chiefs -5.5O/U 43.5
Wk 4Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota VikingsMinnesota Vikings -7.5O/U 43.5
Wk 4Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints -2.5O/U 45.5
Wk 4Arizona Cardinals @ New York GiantsNew York Giants -7.0O/U 45.5
Wk 4Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia EaglesLos Angeles Rams -2.5O/U 47.5
Wk 4Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks -3.0O/U 45.5
Wk 4Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSan Francisco 49ers -2.5O/U 46.5
Wk 4Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersGreen Bay Packers -1.5O/U 47.5
Wk 4Indianapolis Colts @ Washington CommandersWashington Commanders -1.5O/U 48.5
Wk 5Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys -3.5O/U 52.5
Wk 5Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville JaguarsPhiladelphia Eagles -2.5O/U 44.5
Wk 5Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers -2.5O/U 44.5
Wk 5Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami DolphinsCincinnati Bengals -5.5O/U 49.5
Wk 5Las Vegas Raiders @ New England PatriotsNew England Patriots -8.5O/U 44.5
Wk 5Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans SaintsMinnesota Vikings -1.5O/U 44.5
Wk 5Cleveland Browns @ New York JetsNew York Jets -2.5O/U 40.5
Wk 5Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers -2.5O/U 47.5
Wk 5San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks -3.5O/U 48.5
Wk 5Houston Texans @ Tennessee TitansHouston Texans -3.5O/U 43.5
Wk 5New York Giants @ Washington CommandersWashington Commanders -2.5O/U 48.5
Wk 6Houston Texans @ Jacksonville JaguarsJacksonville Jaguars -1.5O/U 40.5
Wk 7Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans SaintsPittsburgh Steelers -1.5O/U 40.5
Lines move; not betting advice.