Mountain West Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Boise State a 3% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
3%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
3% → 3%
Our rank
#44
of 136
Projected field
In · seed 12
Conference title
3%
National title
0%
Most likely record 7-3 (29% likely) across the 10 games we rate, averaging 6.6 wins. The toughest game left is at Oregon (5% to win). 1 other game is against a non-FBS opponent we don't rate.
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
One email on Tuesdays: which teams gained and lost ground on the playoff board, and where our last set of calls was wrong.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.