#116 Sun Belt Conference

Coastal Carolina

Projected 5–7 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Coastal Carolina win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#110

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ West Virginia16%
W2vs Fordham86%
W3@ Delaware39%
W4vs Liberty37%
W5vs GA Southern52%
W6@ Marshall21%
W7vs Appalachian State50%
W9@ Georgia St56%
W10vs Old Dominion22%
W11vs Arkansas St54%
W12@ Louisiana27%
W13@ James Madison8%

Chaos meter23 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to James Madison → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: <1%
24-team field: 1%
Win conference: 3%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ West Virginia· W116% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Coastal Carolina finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#121

-15.1 · off #96 / def #128

Talent composite

#80

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#91

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

97%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#96

EPA / play#120
Success rate#126
Explosiveness#54

Defense#128

EPA / play#104
Success rate#106

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

2.9★ avg

Net

-11

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.