#110 Conference USA

Delaware

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Delaware win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#116

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Merrimack88%
W2@ Vanderbilt12%
W3vs Coastal Carolina61%
W4@ Virginia12%
W5vs Liberty41%
W7@ Middle Tennessee64%
W8vs Missouri St63%
W9@ Western Kentucky33%
W10@ Kennesaw St37%
W11vs FIU53%
W12@ New Mexico St53%
W13vs Jax State51%

Chaos meter34 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Virginia → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: <1%
24-team field: 1%
Win conference: 9%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

vs Merrimack· W188% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Delaware finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#109

-10.9 · off #73 / def #126

Talent composite

#133

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#137

2025 signing class

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#73

EPA / play#50
Success rate#55
Explosiveness#42

Defense#126

EPA / play#108
Success rate#65

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

2.9★ avg

Portal out

3.2★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.