#98 Conference USA

Kennesaw St

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Kennesaw St win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

13%

SOS

#95

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs West Georgia90%
W2vs Georgia St77%
W3@ Tennessee6%
W4@ Arkansas St46%
W6vs Jax State55%
W7@ Missouri St52%
W8vs Liberty45%
W9@ Middle Tennessee69%
W10vs Delaware63%
W11@ Sam Houston67%
W12vs FIU58%
W13@ Western Kentucky37%

Chaos meter35 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Tennessee → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 3%
Win conference: 13%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

vs West Georgia· W190% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Kennesaw St finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#89

-5.4 · off #72 / def #93

Talent composite

#132

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#154

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

46%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#72

EPA / play#79
Success rate#83
Explosiveness#24

Defense#93

EPA / play#77
Success rate#80

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

+10

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.