Southeastern Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Texas a 48% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
48%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
48% → 48%
Our rank
#5
of 136
Projected field
In · seed 3
Conference title
21%
National title
6%
Most likely record 9-3 (27% likely) across the 12 games we rate, averaging 9.3 wins. The toughest game left is vs Ohio State (51% to win).
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
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