Big Ten Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026TailgateNinjas gives Penn State a 25% chance to make the 2026 College Football Playoff. Updated August 29, 2026.
Chance to make the 12-team playoff
25%
No change since the previous projection
Since preseason
25% → 25%
Our rank
#16
of 136
Projected field
Outside
Conference title
4%
National title
1%
Most likely record 9-3 (28% likely) across the 12 games we rate, averaging 8.5 wins. The toughest game left is at Michigan (27% to win).
Full schedule + record distribution →Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated.
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