Week 1 · Bracket movers

Game Impact

Not the biggest names — the biggest stakes. These are the games whose outcomes swing the playoff field the most: close matchups between teams with everything to play for.

1
100

A toss-up with real playoff stakes.

2
88

Playoff implications for the contender.

3
atLSU30%
72

Playoff implications for the contender.

4
66

A toss-up with real playoff stakes.

5
63

A toss-up with real playoff stakes.

6
32

A toss-up with real playoff stakes.

7
31

Playoff implications for the contender.

8
30

Playoff implications for the contender.

9
27

Playoff implications for the contender.

10
21

Playoff implications for the contender.

11
19

Playoff implications for the contender.

12
18

Playoff implications for the contender.

Impact (0–100) scores how much a game moves the 12-team playoff picture: how much each team's playoff odds are genuinely in play, weighted by how close the game projects to be. A coin flip between two bubble teams scores high; a blowout — or a game between two locks — scores low. % is each team's playoff chance.