Mid-American Conference

Akron

4.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Wake Forest (7%) · Easiest: Robert Morris (83%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #118

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ Wake Forest
Vegas +22.5
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 2
vs Robert Morris
Likely Win
83%
Wk 3
@ Minnesota
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs UNLV
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 5
@ C Michigan
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 6
vs E Michigan
Toss-up
53%
Wk 7
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 8
@ Kent State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs Ohio
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 11
vs W Michigan
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 12
@ UMass
Toss-up
51%
Wk 13
vs Buffalo
Toss-up
54%

Ball State

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (0%) · Easiest: Stony Brook (71%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #84

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Ohio State
Vegas +50
Likely Loss
0%
Wk 2
vs Stony Brook
Likely Win
71%
Wk 3
@ Liberty
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 4
@ Kent State
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 5
vs Toledo
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 6
@ Northwestern
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 7
@ Bowling Green
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 8
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
71%
Wk 10
@ UMass
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 11
vs Buffalo
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 12
@ Ohio
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 13
vs C Michigan
Likely Loss
29%

Bowling Green

4.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Nebraska (6%) · Easiest: Tarleton State (80%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #109

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Tarleton State
Likely Win
80%
Wk 2
@ Nebraska
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 3
@ Iowa State
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs South Florida
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 5
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 6
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
80%
Wk 7
vs Ball State
Lean Win
69%
Wk 8
@ Buffalo
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 9
@ W Michigan
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 11
vs Kent State
Lean Win
67%
Wk 12
@ Toledo
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 13
vs UMass
Lean Win
64%

Buffalo

5.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Penn State (5%) · Easiest: UAlbany (85%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #92

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs UAlbany
Likely Win
85%
Wk 2
@ FIU
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 3
@ Penn State
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 4
vs Robert Morris
Likely Win
85%
Wk 5
vs W Michigan
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 6
@ Toledo
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 7
vs UMass
Likely Win
71%
Wk 8
vs Bowling Green
Lean Win
65%
Wk 10
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
@ Ball State
Lean Win
62%
Wk 12
vs C Michigan
Toss-up
48%
Wk 13
@ Akron
Toss-up
46%

C Michigan

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (2%) · Easiest: Colgate (89%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #90

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ New Mexico
Vegas +12.5
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 2
vs Colgate
Likely Win
89%
Wk 3
vs Wyoming
Lean Win
70%
Wk 4
@ Miami
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 5
vs Akron
Likely Win
71%
Wk 6
@ Ohio
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 7
vs W Michigan
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 8
vs Miami (OH)
Toss-up
45%
Wk 10
@ E Michigan (neutral)
Lean Win
59%
Wk 11
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
89%
Wk 12
@ Buffalo
Toss-up
52%
Wk 13
@ Ball State
Likely Win
71%

E Michigan

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Wisconsin (10%) · Easiest: Sacramento State (85%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #124

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs San José St
Vegas -3.5
Lean Win
59%
Wk 1
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
85%
Wk 2
@ Michigan State
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 3
@ Wisconsin
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs Lindenwood
Likely Win
85%
Wk 5
@ UMass
Lean Win
56%
Wk 6
@ Akron
Toss-up
47%
Wk 7
vs Toledo
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 8
@ Ohio
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 10
vs C Michigan (neutral)
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 12
@ W Michigan
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 13
vs Kent State
Likely Win
74%

Kent State

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (0%) · Easiest: Wofford (73%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #79

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ South Carolina
Vegas +34.5
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 2
vs Wofford
Likely Win
73%
Wk 3
@ Ohio State
Likely Loss
0%
Wk 4
vs Ball State
Lean Win
60%
Wk 5
vs Ohio
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 6
@ W Michigan
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 7
@ South Florida
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 8
vs Akron
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 9
@ Sacramento State
Lean Win
59%
Wk 11
@ Bowling Green
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 12
vs Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 13
@ E Michigan
Likely Loss
26%

Miami (OH)

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Pittsburgh (15%) · Easiest: Holy Cross (93%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #125

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Pittsburgh
Vegas +16
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 2
vs Holy Cross
Likely Win
93%
Wk 3
@ Cincinnati
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 4
vs UConn
Lean Win
66%
Wk 5
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
83%
Wk 6
@ UMass
Likely Win
76%
Wk 7
vs Akron
Likely Win
80%
Wk 8
@ C Michigan
Toss-up
55%
Wk 10
vs Buffalo
Likely Win
78%
Wk 11
vs Ohio
Likely Win
70%
Wk 12
@ Kent State
Likely Win
79%
Wk 13
@ W Michigan
Lean Loss
39%

N Illinois

3.9 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Iowa (3%) · Easiest: Illinois State (71%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #55

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Iowa
Vegas +30
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 2
vs Illinois State
Likely Win
71%
Wk 3
@ Arizona
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 4
@ Georgia St
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 6
vs Air Force
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 7
@ Wyoming
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 8
vs Hawai'i
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 9
@ UNLV
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 10
@ San José St
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 11
vs Nevada
Toss-up
49%
Wk 12
@ North Dakota State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 13
vs UTEP
Lean Win
59%

Ohio

6.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Nebraska (6%) · Easiest: Stonehill (89%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #127

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ Nebraska
Vegas +23.5
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 2
vs Jax State
Toss-up
53%
Wk 3
@ South Alabama
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 4
vs Stonehill
Likely Win
89%
Wk 5
@ Kent State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 6
vs C Michigan
Lean Win
58%
Wk 7
@ Sacramento State
Likely Win
81%
Wk 8
vs E Michigan
Lean Win
67%
Wk 10
@ Akron
Lean Win
56%
Wk 11
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 12
vs Ball State
Likely Win
82%
Wk 13
vs Toledo
Toss-up
49%

Toledo

7.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Michigan State (25%) · Easiest: Central Connecticut (92%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #130

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Michigan State
Vegas +10.5
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 2
vs Central Connecticut
Likely Win
92%
Wk 3
vs Temple
Lean Win
59%
Wk 4
vs San Diego State
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 5
@ Ball State
Likely Win
77%
Wk 6
vs Buffalo
Likely Win
74%
Wk 7
@ E Michigan
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
vs W Michigan
Toss-up
50%
Wk 10
@ Sacramento State
Likely Win
86%
Wk 11
vs UMass
Likely Win
83%
Wk 12
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
80%
Wk 13
@ Ohio
Toss-up
51%

UMass

5.0 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Rutgers (2%) · Easiest: Sacred Heart (76%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #133

Wk 1
@ Rutgers
Vegas +30.5
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 2
vs Sacred Heart
Likely Win
76%
Wk 3
vs Stonehill
Likely Win
76%
Wk 4
@ Sacramento State
Lean Win
63%
Wk 5
vs E Michigan
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
vs Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 7
@ Buffalo
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 8
@ UConn
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 10
vs Ball State
Lean Win
64%
Wk 11
@ Toledo
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 12
vs Akron
Toss-up
49%
Wk 13
@ Bowling Green
Lean Loss
36%

W Michigan

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Michigan (4%) · Easiest: Monmouth (94%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #89

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Michigan
Vegas +26.5
Likely Loss
4%
Wk 2
vs Monmouth
Likely Win
94%
Wk 3
@ Rice
Lean Win
61%
Wk 4
vs Boise State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
@ Buffalo
Lean Win
68%
Wk 6
vs Kent State
Likely Win
89%
Wk 7
@ C Michigan
Lean Win
58%
Wk 8
@ Toledo
Toss-up
50%
Wk 9
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
85%
Wk 11
@ Akron
Likely Win
71%
Wk 12
vs E Michigan
Likely Win
80%
Wk 13
vs Miami (OH)
Lean Win
61%

Model projection