The slate

Week 5 matchups

Every game, ranked by playoff stakes. Tap any matchup for the model's read and what both sidelines are saying.

CFB Week 5 kicks off Thu, Oct 1

Game of the week
Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBDToss-up
Florida

Florida

51% to win

@
Missouri

#25Missouri

49% to win

Why it tops the slate · A toss-up with real playoff stakes.

Florida −0.5·Model line·Open matchup →

Tap the star on any team to pin their games to the top each week.

The rest of the slate

Louisville

#24Louisville

50% to win

NC State

NC State

50% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
NC State −0.5Toss-upView
Washington

#17Washington

29% to win

USC

#14USC

71% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
USC −8.5LiveView
BYU

#14BYU

65% to win

TCU

TCU

35% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
BYU −6.5LiveView
Auburn

Auburn

34% to win

Tennessee

#20Tennessee

66% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Tennessee −6.5LiveView
Ohio State

#1Ohio State

79% to win

Iowa

#22Iowa

21% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Ohio State −12.5LeanView
Penn State

#18Penn State

63% to win

Northwestern

Northwestern

37% to win

Fri, Oct 2 · 8:00 PM ET
Penn State −5.5LiveView
Miami

#7Miami

77% to win

Clemson

Clemson

23% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Miami −7.5LeanView
Virginia

Virginia

40% to win

Florida State

Florida State

60% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Florida State −4.5Toss-upView
Baylor

Baylor

41% to win

Arizona State

Arizona State

59% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Arizona State −3.5Toss-upView
Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

56% to win

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech

44% to win

Fri, Oct 2 · 7:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh −2.5Toss-upView
Michigan

#16Michigan

78% to win

Minnesota

Minnesota

22% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Michigan −12.5LeanView
Alabama

#13Alabama

77% to win

Mississippi St

Mississippi St

23% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Alabama −11.5LeanView
Cincinnati

Cincinnati

29% to win

Arizona

Arizona

71% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Arizona −8.5LiveView
Texas Tech

#12Texas Tech

85% to win

Colorado

Colorado

15% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Texas Tech −16.5LeanView
Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt

13% to win

Georgia

#3Georgia

87% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Georgia −17.5ChalkView
Arkansas

Arkansas

15% to win

Texas A&M

#8Texas A&M

85% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Texas A&M −16.5LeanView
Kentucky

Kentucky

28% to win

South Carolina

South Carolina

72% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
South Carolina −9.5LiveView
UCF

UCF

21% to win

Houston

#23Houston

79% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Houston −12.5LeanView
California

California

55% to win

UNLV

UNLV

45% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
California −2.5Toss-upView
West Virginia

West Virginia

41% to win

Iowa State

Iowa State

59% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Iowa State −3.5Toss-upView
Michigan State

Michigan State

34% to win

Wisconsin

Wisconsin

66% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Wisconsin −6.5LiveView
Maryland

Maryland

22% to win

Nebraska

Nebraska

78% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Nebraska −12.5LeanView
Purdue

Purdue

17% to win

Illinois

Illinois

83% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Illinois −15.5LeanView
Marshall

Marshall

21% to win

James Madison

James Madison

79% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
James Madison −12.5LeanView
Fresno State

Fresno State

52% to win

Washington St

Washington St

48% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 9:30 PM ET
Fresno State −0.5Toss-upView
Boston College

Boston College

12% to win

SMU

#19SMU

88% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
SMU −18.5ChalkView
Syracuse

Syracuse

55% to win

UConn

UConn

45% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Syracuse −2.5Toss-upView
Indiana

#6Indiana

94% to win

Rutgers

Rutgers

6% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 8:00 PM ET
Indiana −24.5ChalkView
Army

Army

63% to win

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech

37% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Army −5.5LiveView
North Texas

North Texas

68% to win

Tulsa

Tulsa

32% to win

Thu, Oct 1 · 9:00 PM ET
North Texas −7.5LiveView
Stanford

Stanford

30% to win

Wake Forest

Wake Forest

70% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Wake Forest −8.5LiveView
Navy

Navy

71% to win

Air Force

Air Force

29% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Navy −8.5LiveView
Temple

Temple

21% to win

South Florida

South Florida

79% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
South Florida −12.5LeanView
Texas St

Texas St

37% to win

San Diego State

San Diego State

63% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 10:30 PM ET
San Diego State −5.5LiveView
UTSA

UTSA

73% to win

Rice

Rice

27% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
UTSA −9.5LiveView
Old Dominion

Old Dominion

85% to win

Georgia St

Georgia St

15% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Old Dominion −15.5LeanView
Utah State

Utah State

19% to win

Boise State

Boise State

81% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Boise State −13.5LeanView
Notre Dame

#4Notre Dame

97% to win

North Carolina

North Carolina

3% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Notre Dame −23.5ChalkView
Liberty

Liberty

58% to win

Delaware

Delaware

42% to win

Fri, Oct 2 · 7:00 PM ET
Liberty −3.5Toss-upView
Memphis

Memphis

84% to win

Charlotte

Charlotte

16% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Memphis −15.5LeanView
Oregon St

Oregon St

42% to win

Colorado St

Colorado St

58% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM ET
Colorado St −3.5Toss-upView
W Michigan

W Michigan

66% to win

Buffalo

Buffalo

34% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
W Michigan −6.5LiveView
Arkansas St

Arkansas St

32% to win

Louisiana

Louisiana

68% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Louisiana −7.5LiveView
Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee

8% to win

Kansas

Kansas

92% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Kansas −21.5ChalkView
San José St

San José St

26% to win

Hawai'i

Hawai'i

74% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · 11:59 PM ET
Hawai'i −9.5LiveView
GA Southern

GA Southern

48% to win

Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina

52% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Coastal Carolina −1.5Toss-upView
Toledo

Toledo

75% to win

Ball State

Ball State

25% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Toledo −10.5LeanView
Bowling Green

Bowling Green

20% to win

Miami (OH)

Miami (OH)

80% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Miami (OH) −13.5LeanView
UL Monroe

UL Monroe

26% to win

South Alabama

South Alabama

74% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
South Alabama −10.5LiveView
UTEP

UTEP

14% to win

New Mexico

New Mexico

86% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
New Mexico −16.5ChalkView
Ohio

Ohio

67% to win

Kent State

Kent State

33% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
Ohio −6.5LiveView
Akron

Akron

31% to win

C Michigan

C Michigan

69% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
C Michigan −7.5LiveView
E Michigan

E Michigan

55% to win

UMass

UMass

45% to win

Sat, Oct 3 · Time TBD
E Michigan −2.5Toss-upView
Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky

61% to win

New Mexico St

New Mexico St

39% to win

Thu, Oct 1 · 8:00 PM ET
Western Kentucky −4.5LiveView

Also on the slate

Games against non-FBS opponents — shown for completeness; no betting line, so the model sits these out.

This Week · Matchups · TailgateNinjas