The slate

Week 1 matchups

Every game, ranked by playoff stakes. Tap any matchup for the model's read and what both sidelines are saying.

Game of the weekToss-up
SMU

#22SMU

56% to win

@
Florida State

#37Florida State

44% to win

Why it tops the slate · A toss-up with real playoff stakes.

SMU −2.5·Vegas line·Open matchup →

Tap the star on any team to pin their games to the top each week.

The rest of the slate

Louisville

#29Louisville

34% to win

Ole Miss

#14Ole Miss

66% to win

Ole Miss −6.5Live
NC State

#46NC State

41% to win

Virginia

#45Virginia

59% to win

Virginia −3.5Toss-up
Clemson

#27Clemson

24% to win

LSU

#11LSU

76% to win

LSU −11Lean
UCLA

#26UCLA

46% to win

California

#58California

54% to win

California −1.5Toss-up
Baylor

#40Baylor

34% to win

Auburn

#35Auburn

66% to win

Auburn −6.5Live
Liberty

#81Liberty

35% to win

James Madison

#73James Madison

65% to win

James Madison −6Live
North Carolina

#53North Carolina

34% to win

TCU

#43TCU

66% to win

TCU −6.5Live
Colorado

#47Colorado

32% to win

Georgia Tech

#55Georgia Tech

68% to win

Georgia Tech −7Live
Miami

#7Miami

92% to win

Stanford

#63Stanford

8% to win

Miami −21.5Chalk
Memphis

#71Memphis

42% to win

UNLV

#88UNLV

58% to win

UNLV −3Toss-up
Tulane

#59Tulane

28% to win

Duke

#51Duke

72% to win

Duke −9Live
Notre Dame

#4Notre Dame

91% to win

Wisconsin

#36Wisconsin

9% to win

Notre Dame −20.5Chalk
Oregon St

#112Oregon St

12% to win

Houston

#20Houston

88% to win

Houston −18.5Chalk
Miami (OH)

#93Miami (OH)

15% to win

Pittsburgh

#41Pittsburgh

85% to win

Pittsburgh −16Lean
Boston College

#64Boston College

29% to win

Cincinnati

#52Cincinnati

71% to win

Cincinnati −8.5Live
Fresno State

#75Fresno State

6% to win

USC

#9USC

94% to win

USC −23.5Chalk
Boise State

#42Boise State

6% to win

Oregon

#2Oregon

94% to win

Oregon −24.5Chalk
UNLV

#88UNLV

54% to win

Hawai'i

#99Hawai'i

46% to win

UNLV −1.5Toss-up
Washington St

#92Washington St

8% to win

Washington

#18Washington

92% to win

Washington −21.5Chalk
Marshall

#83Marshall

6% to win

Penn State

#17Penn State

94% to win

Penn State −23.5Chalk
East Carolina

#77East Carolina

5% to win

Alabama

#15Alabama

95% to win

Alabama −26Chalk
FIU

#106FIU

21% to win

South Florida

#74South Florida

79% to win

South Florida −12.5Lean
Oklahoma State

#50Oklahoma State

78% to win

Tulsa

#98Tulsa

22% to win

Oklahoma State −12Lean
W Michigan

#85W Michigan

4% to win

Michigan

#8Michigan

96% to win

Michigan −26.5Chalk
Toledo

#90Toledo

25% to win

Michigan State

#48Michigan State

75% to win

Michigan State −10.5Lean
Hawai'i

#99Hawai'i

42% to win

Stanford

#63Stanford

58% to win

Stanford −3Toss-up
Arkansas St

#111Arkansas St

25% to win

Memphis

#71Memphis

75% to win

Memphis −10.5Lean
FAU

#89FAU

5% to win

Florida

#32Florida

95% to win

Florida −26Chalk
Texas St

#86Texas St

2% to win

Texas

#3Texas

98% to win

Texas −30.5Chalk
Ohio

#102Ohio

6% to win

Nebraska

#34Nebraska

94% to win

Nebraska −23.5Chalk
Coastal Carolina

#109Coastal Carolina

13% to win

West Virginia

#56West Virginia

87% to win

West Virginia −17.5Chalk
UAB

#122UAB

4% to win

Illinois

#23Illinois

96% to win

Illinois −27.5Chalk
N Illinois

#135N Illinois

3% to win

Iowa

#21Iowa

97% to win

Iowa −30Chalk
C Michigan

#108C Michigan

21% to win

New Mexico

#95New Mexico

79% to win

New Mexico −12.5Lean
Akron

#123Akron

7% to win

Wake Forest

#66Wake Forest

93% to win

Wake Forest −22.5Chalk
Wyoming

#121Wyoming

40% to win

Colorado St

#120Colorado St

60% to win

Colorado St −4Toss-up
San José St

#118San José St

1% to win

USC

#9USC

99% to win

USC −35.5Chalk
New Mexico St

#125New Mexico St

3% to win

Florida State

#37Florida State

97% to win

Florida State −29.5Chalk
Western Kentucky

#84Western Kentucky

59% to win

Nevada

#127Nevada

41% to win

Western Kentucky −3.5Toss-up
San José St

#118San José St

41% to win

E Michigan

#119E Michigan

59% to win

E Michigan −3.5Toss-up
Missouri St

#113Missouri St

1% to win

Texas A&M

#10Texas A&M

99% to win

Texas A&M −38.5Chalk
Kent State

#130Kent State

1% to win

South Carolina

#25South Carolina

99% to win

South Carolina −34.5Chalk
North Texas

#72North Texas

0% to win

Indiana

#5Indiana

100% to win

Indiana −40.5Chalk
Sam Houston

#128Sam Houston

14% to win

Troy

#87Troy

86% to win

Troy −17Chalk
UL Monroe

#132UL Monroe

3% to win

Mississippi St

#76Mississippi St

97% to win

Mississippi St −28.5Chalk
UTEP

#133UTEP

0% to win

Oklahoma

#13Oklahoma

100% to win

Oklahoma −40.5Chalk
UMass

#134UMass

2% to win

Rutgers

#60Rutgers

98% to win

Rutgers −30.5Chalk
Ball State

#136Ball State

0% to win

Ohio State

#1Ohio State

100% to win

Ohio State −50Chalk