The slate
Week 1 matchups
Every game, ranked by playoff stakes. Tap any matchup for the model's read and what both sidelines are saying.
#19SMU
52% to win
Florida State
48% to win
Why it tops the slate · A toss-up with real playoff stakes.
☆ Tap the star on any team to pin their games to the top each week.
The rest of the slate
#24Louisville
34% to win
#9Ole Miss
66% to win
Clemson
25% to win
#11LSU
75% to win
Baylor
41% to win
Auburn
59% to win
UCLA
50% to win
California
50% to win
Tulane
50% to win
Duke
50% to win
East Carolina
14% to win
#13Alabama
86% to win
Colorado
34% to win
Georgia Tech
66% to win
Marshall
14% to win
#18Penn State
86% to win
Miami (OH)
21% to win
Pittsburgh
79% to win
Fresno State
9% to win
#14USC
91% to win
Washington St
12% to win
#17Washington
88% to win
North Texas
7% to win
#6Indiana
93% to win
Liberty
19% to win
James Madison
81% to win
Oklahoma State
61% to win
Tulsa
39% to win
FAU
11% to win
Florida
89% to win
W Michigan
7% to win
#16Michigan
93% to win
Boise State
6% to win
#2Oregon
94% to win
UNLV
53% to win
Hawai'i
47% to win
#7Miami
95% to win
Stanford
5% to win
Boston College
25% to win
Cincinnati
75% to win
Ohio
12% to win
Nebraska
88% to win
Texas St
4% to win
#5Texas
96% to win
Toledo
28% to win
Michigan State
72% to win
Wisconsin
4% to win
#4Notre Dame
96% to win
Oregon St
6% to win
#23Houston
94% to win
FIU
18% to win
South Florida
82% to win
UAB
7% to win
Illinois
93% to win
Coastal Carolina
18% to win
West Virginia
82% to win
Arkansas St
18% to win
Memphis
82% to win
C Michigan
36% to win
New Mexico
64% to win
Akron
15% to win
Wake Forest
85% to win
Missouri St
2% to win
#8Texas A&M
98% to win
Abilene Christian
2% to win
#12Texas Tech
98% to win
Idaho
2% to win
#21Utah
98% to win
UMass
13% to win
Rutgers
87% to win
Kent State
3% to win
South Carolina
97% to win
N Illinois
2% to win
#22Iowa
98% to win
UL Monroe
10% to win
Mississippi St
90% to win
Wyoming
39% to win
Colorado St
61% to win
UTEP
1% to win
#10Oklahoma
99% to win
Sam Houston
18% to win
Troy
82% to win
San José St
39% to win
E Michigan
61% to win
Western Kentucky
68% to win
Nevada
32% to win
Furman
<1% to win
#20Tennessee
>99% to win
Utah Tech
<1% to win
#14BYU
>99% to win
Ball State
<1% to win
#1Ohio State
>99% to win
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
<1% to win
#25Missouri
>99% to win
Tennessee State
<1% to win
#3Georgia
>99% to win
Also on the slate
Games against non-FBS opponents — shown for completeness; no betting line, so the model sits these out.
Air Force vs DuquesneNo line
Appalachian State vs MaineNo line
Arizona vs Northern ArizonaNo line
Arizona State vs Morgan StateNo line
Arkansas vs North AlabamaNo line
Army vs BryantNo line
Bowling Green vs Tarleton StateNo line
Buffalo vs UAlbanyNo line
Charlotte vs The CitadelNo line
Delaware vs MerrimackNo lineE Michigan vs Sacramento StateNo line
GA Southern vs Charleston SouthernNo line
Georgia St vs North Carolina A&TNo line
Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri StateNo line
Jax State @ North Dakota StateNo lineJax State vs Eastern KentuckyNo line
Kansas vs Long Island UniversityNo line
Kansas State vs NichollsNo line
Kennesaw St vs West GeorgiaNo line
Kentucky vs Youngstown StateNo line
Louisiana vs LamarNo line
Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern StateNo line
Maryland vs HowardNo line
Middle Tennessee vs Murray StateNo line
Minnesota vs Eastern IllinoisNo line
Navy vs TowsonNo line
New Mexico St vs MercyhurstNo line
Northwestern vs South Dakota StateNo line
Old Dominion vs Norfolk StateNo line
Purdue vs Indiana StateNo line
Rice vs Houston ChristianNo line
San Diego State vs Portland StateNo line
South Alabama vs SE LouisianaNo line
Southern Miss vs Alcorn StateNo line
Syracuse vs New HampshireNo line
Temple vs Rhode IslandNo line
UCF vs Bethune-CookmanNo line
UConn vs LafayetteNo line
Utah State vs Idaho StateNo line
UTSA vs UT Rio Grande ValleyNo line
Vanderbilt vs Austin PeayNo line
Virginia Tech vs VMINo line