Sun Belt Conference

Appalachian State

6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: NC State (15%) · Easiest: Maine (90%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #115

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Maine
Likely Win
90%
Wk 2
@ East Carolina
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 3
vs Charlotte
Likely Win
77%
Wk 4
@ NC State
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 6
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 7
@ Coastal Carolina
Toss-up
50%
Wk 8
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
@ GA Southern
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 10
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
77%
Wk 11
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 12
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
76%
Wk 13
@ South Alabama
Lean Loss
42%

Arkansas St

6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: TCU (12%) · Easiest: West Georgia (88%)

4 toss-ups · Schedule strength #119

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Memphis
Vegas +11.2
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 2
vs West Georgia
Likely Win
88%
Wk 3
@ TCU
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 4
vs Kennesaw St
Toss-up
54%
Wk 5
@ Louisiana
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 6
vs South Alabama
Toss-up
54%
Wk 7
@ Southern Miss
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 8
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
74%
Wk 10
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
73%
Wk 11
@ Coastal Carolina
Toss-up
46%
Wk 12
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 13
vs Troy
Toss-up
47%

Coastal Carolina

5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (8%) · Easiest: Fordham (86%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #110

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ West Virginia
Vegas +20.5
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 2
vs Fordham
Likely Win
86%
Wk 3
@ Delaware
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 4
vs Liberty
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
vs GA Southern
Toss-up
52%
Wk 6
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 7
vs Appalachian State
Toss-up
50%
Wk 9
@ Georgia St
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
vs Arkansas St
Toss-up
54%
Wk 12
@ Louisiana
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 13
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
8%

GA Southern

5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Clemson (9%) · Easiest: Charleston Southern (89%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #98

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Charleston Southern
Likely Win
89%
Wk 2
@ Clemson
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 3
@ Jax State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 4
vs Houston
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 5
@ Coastal Carolina
Toss-up
48%
Wk 6
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 7
@ Old Dominion
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 9
vs Appalachian State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs Marshall
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 11
@ Georgia St
Lean Win
62%
Wk 12
@ Troy
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 13
vs Louisiana Tech
Toss-up
51%

Georgia St

4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (5%) · Easiest: North Carolina A&T (78%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #111

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs North Carolina A&T
Likely Win
78%
Wk 2
@ Kennesaw St
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 3
@ UCF
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs N Illinois
Lean Win
67%
Wk 5
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 7
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 8
@ Arkansas St
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 9
vs Coastal Carolina
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 10
@ Appalachian State
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 11
vs GA Southern
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 12
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 13
vs Louisiana
Likely Loss
28%

James Madison

10 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Old Dominion (54%) · Easiest: Wagner (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #114

Wk 1
vs Liberty
Vegas -6.5
Lean Win
66%
Wk 2
vs Wagner
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
@ San Diego State
Lean Win
63%
Wk 4
@ Old Dominion
Toss-up
54%
Wk 5
vs Marshall
Likely Win
81%
Wk 6
@ GA Southern
Likely Win
82%
Wk 7
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
95%
Wk 8
@ Appalachian State
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
vs Troy
Likely Win
86%
Wk 10
@ Southern Miss
Likely Win
84%
Wk 11
@ UConn
Likely Win
79%
Wk 13
vs Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
92%

Louisiana

8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: USC (5%) · Easiest: Lamar (93%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #97

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Lamar
Likely Win
93%
Wk 2
@ USC
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 3
vs UAB
Likely Win
77%
Wk 4
@ Charlotte
Likely Win
72%
Wk 5
vs Arkansas St
Likely Win
70%
Wk 6
@ Louisiana Tech
Toss-up
46%
Wk 7
vs Troy
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
@ Southern Miss
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs South Alabama
Lean Win
67%
Wk 11
@ UL Monroe
Likely Win
71%
Wk 12
vs Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
73%
Wk 13
@ Georgia St
Likely Win
72%

Marshall

8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Penn State (6%) · Easiest: Gardner-Webb (94%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #94

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Penn State
Vegas +24.2
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 2
vs Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
89%
Wk 3
@ Missouri St
Lean Win
67%
Wk 4
vs Gardner-Webb
Likely Win
94%
Wk 5
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 6
vs Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
79%
Wk 8
vs South Alabama
Likely Win
73%
Wk 9
@ Old Dominion
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 10
@ GA Southern
Lean Win
60%
Wk 11
vs Appalachian State
Likely Win
73%
Wk 12
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
87%
Wk 13
@ UL Monroe
Likely Win
76%

Old Dominion

9 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (46%) · Easiest: Norfolk State (97%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #112

Wk 1
vs Norfolk State
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
@ Virginia Tech
Toss-up
49%
Wk 3
vs East Carolina
Lean Win
62%
Wk 4
vs James Madison
Toss-up
46%
Wk 5
@ Georgia St
Likely Win
86%
Wk 6
@ Appalachian State
Likely Win
72%
Wk 7
vs GA Southern
Likely Win
84%
Wk 8
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Win
68%
Wk 9
vs Marshall
Likely Win
72%
Wk 10
@ Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
78%
Wk 12
@ UConn
Lean Win
70%
Wk 13
vs Southern Miss
Likely Win
86%

South Alabama

6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Tulane (16%) · Easiest: SE Louisiana (90%)

4 toss-ups · Schedule strength #113

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs SE Louisiana
Likely Win
90%
Wk 2
@ Tulane
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 3
vs Ohio
Lean Win
59%
Wk 4
@ Kentucky
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 5
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
76%
Wk 6
@ Arkansas St
Toss-up
46%
Wk 8
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 9
vs Louisiana Tech
Toss-up
53%
Wk 10
@ Louisiana
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 11
vs Troy
Toss-up
51%
Wk 12
@ Southern Miss
Toss-up
47%
Wk 13
vs Appalachian State
Lean Win
58%

Southern Miss

5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Auburn (8%) · Easiest: Alcorn State (88%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #81

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Alcorn State
Likely Win
88%
Wk 2
@ Auburn
Likely Loss
8%
Wk 3
vs UConn
Toss-up
50%
Wk 4
@ Tulane
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 6
@ Troy
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 7
vs Arkansas St
Lean Win
57%
Wk 8
vs Louisiana
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 9
@ UL Monroe
Lean Win
58%
Wk 10
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 11
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 12
vs South Alabama
Toss-up
53%
Wk 13
@ Old Dominion
Likely Loss
14%

Texas St

6 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: Texas (3%) · Easiest: Incarnate Word (94%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #68

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Texas
Vegas +29.5
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 2
vs UTSA
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 3
vs North Texas
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 4
vs Incarnate Word
Likely Win
94%
Wk 5
@ San Diego State
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 7
vs Colorado St
Likely Win
79%
Wk 8
vs Utah State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 9
@ Boise State
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 10
@ Oregon St
Lean Win
67%
Wk 11
vs Fresno State
Toss-up
54%
Wk 12
vs Washington St
Lean Win
63%

Troy

7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Missouri (11%) · Easiest: Alabama State (92%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #120

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Sam Houston
Vegas -17.2
Likely Win
87%
Wk 2
vs Alabama State
Likely Win
92%
Wk 3
@ Missouri
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 4
@ Utah State
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
vs Southern Miss
Lean Win
69%
Wk 7
@ Louisiana
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 8
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 10
vs Louisiana Tech
Lean Win
60%
Wk 11
@ South Alabama
Toss-up
49%
Wk 12
vs GA Southern
Lean Win
67%
Wk 13
@ Arkansas St
Toss-up
53%

UL Monroe

4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Mississippi St (3%) · Easiest: SE Louisiana (79%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #123

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Mississippi St
Vegas +28.5
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 2
@ UAB
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 3
vs SE Louisiana
Likely Win
79%
Wk 4
vs FAU
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 5
@ South Alabama
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 7
vs Louisiana Tech
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 8
@ Troy
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
vs Southern Miss
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 10
@ Arkansas St
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 11
vs Louisiana
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 12
@ Appalachian State
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 13
vs Marshall
Likely Loss
24%

Model projection