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2026 Vegas win totals

Every team's posted season win total next to our projection. Our model is anchored to the market, so the two track closely — the value is in what the line implies for the playoff race on the main board.

#
Team
Vegas
Proj
1
Notre Dame
11.5
11.4
2
Indiana
10.5
10.4
3
Texas Tech
10.5
10.4
4
Miami
10.5
10.4
5
Oregon
10.5
10.3
6
Georgia
9.5
9.4
7
Ohio State
9.5
9.3
8
Texas
9.5
9.3
9
Penn State
8.5
8.6
10
SMU
8.5
8.6
11
South Florida
8.5
8.6
12
Utah
8.5
8.5
13
Alabama
8.5
8.5
14
BYU
8.5
8.5
15
Kansas State
8.5
8.4
16
USC
8.5
8.4
17
Texas A&M
8.5
8.4
18
Houston
8.5
8.3
19
LSU
8.5
8.3
20
Michigan
8.5
8.2
21
UNLV
7.5
7.9
22
New Mexico
7.5
7.8
23
Toledo
7.5
7.8
24
Hawai'i
7.5
7.7
25
Jax State
7.5
7.7
26
Louisiana
7.5
7.6
27
Miami (OH)
7.5
7.6
28
Army
7.5
7.6
29
W Michigan
7.5
7.6
30
Louisville
7.5
7.6
31
Navy
7.5
7.6
32
Boise State
7.5
7.6
33
Pittsburgh
7.5
7.6
34
Marshall
7.5
7.5
35
UTSA
7.5
7.5
36
Clemson
7.5
7.5
37
East Carolina
7.5
7.5
38
Iowa
7.5
7.5
39
NC State
7.5
7.5
40
Ole Miss
7.5
7.5
41
Illinois
7.5
7.5
42
Oklahoma
7.5
7.5
43
Washington
7.5
7.5
44
Arizona
7.5
7.4
45
Tennessee
7.5
7.4
46
Memphis
7.5
7.4
47
Tulane
7.5
7.4
48
Florida
7.5
7.3
49
Ohio
6.5
6.8
50
Air Force
6.5
6.8
51
FIU
6.5
6.7
52
Troy
6.5
6.7
53
Kennesaw St
6.5
6.7
54
Western Kentucky
6.5
6.6
55
San Diego State
6.5
6.6
56
Fresno State
6.5
6.6
57
Georgia Tech
6.5
6.6
58
TCU
6.5
6.6
59
C Michigan
6.5
6.5
60
Auburn
6.5
6.5
61
California
6.5
6.5
62
Arizona State
6.5
6.5
63
Missouri
6.5
6.5
64
Nebraska
6.5
6.5
65
Wisconsin
6.5
6.5
66
South Carolina
6.5
6.4
67
Florida State
6.5
6.4
68
Baylor
6.5
6.4
69
UCLA
6.5
6.3
70
San José St
5.5
5.9
71
Duke
5.5
5.9
72
Wyoming
5.5
5.9
73
UConn
5.5
5.8
74
Arkansas St
5.5
5.8
75
Buffalo
5.5
5.8
76
South Alabama
5.5
5.7
77
Delaware
5.5
5.7
78
Louisiana Tech
5.5
5.7
79
Iowa State
5.5
5.7
80
Texas St
5.5
5.7
81
E Michigan
5.5
5.7
82
Vanderbilt
5.5
5.7
83
Wake Forest
5.5
5.6
84
Appalachian State
5.5
5.6
85
Kansas
5.5
5.6
86
Temple
5.5
5.6
87
UCF
5.5
5.6
88
Minnesota
5.5
5.5
89
West Virginia
5.5
5.5
90
Cincinnati
5.5
5.5
91
Oklahoma State
5.5
5.5
92
FAU
5.5
5.5
93
Northwestern
5.5
5.5
94
Tulsa
5.5
5.3
95
Nevada
4.5
5.0
96
Bowling Green
4.5
4.8
97
Washington St
4.5
4.7
98
Missouri St
4.5
4.7
99
GA Southern
4.5
4.7
100
Rutgers
4.5
4.7
101
New Mexico St
4.5
4.7
102
Utah State
4.5
4.7
103
Southern Miss
4.5
4.7
104
Coastal Carolina
4.5
4.7
105
Akron
4.5
4.6
106
Maryland
4.5
4.6
107
Mississippi St
4.5
4.6
108
Arkansas
4.5
4.5
109
Colorado
4.5
4.5
110
North Carolina
4.5
4.5
111
Kentucky
4.5
4.5
112
Syracuse
4.5
4.5
113
Michigan State
4.5
4.5
114
N Illinois
3.5
3.9
115
UTEP
3.5
3.8
116
Middle Tennessee
3.5
3.8
117
Oregon St
3.5
3.7
118
Ball State
3.5
3.7
119
Georgia St
3.5
3.7
120
Sam Houston
3.5
3.7
121
Boston College
3.5
3.7
122
Kent State
3.5
3.7
123
Colorado St
3.5
3.6
124
UL Monroe
3.5
3.6
125
UAB
3.5
3.6
126
Rice
3.5
3.6
127
Stanford
3.5
3.6
128
Purdue
3.5
3.5
129
Charlotte
2.5
2.6

Posted game lines

The early matchups books have already priced (51 games). The rest open through the summer.

Wk 1East Carolina @ AlabamaAlabama -26.0O/U 53.5
Wk 1Baylor @ AuburnAuburn -6.7O/U 59.5
Wk 1UCLA @ CaliforniaCalifornia -1.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1Boston College @ CincinnatiCincinnati -8.5O/U 54.5
Wk 1Wyoming @ Colorado StColorado St -4.0O/U 47.5
Wk 1Tulane @ DukeDuke -9.0O/U 53.5
Wk 1San José St @ E MichiganE Michigan -3.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1FAU @ FloridaFlorida -26.0O/U 56.5
Wk 1SMU @ Florida StateSMU -2.5O/U 52.5
Wk 1New Mexico St @ Florida StateFlorida State -29.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1Colorado @ Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -7.2O/U 51.5
Wk 1UNLV @ Hawai'iUNLV -1.5O/U 58.5
Wk 1Oregon St @ HoustonHouston -18.5O/U 51.5
Wk 1UAB @ IllinoisIllinois -27.5
Wk 1north-texas @ IndianaIndiana -40.5O/U 55.5
Wk 1N Illinois @ IowaIowa -30.0O/U 43.5
Wk 1liberty @ james-madisonjames-madison -6.0O/U 50.5
Wk 1Clemson @ LSULSU -11.0O/U 50.0
Wk 1Arkansas St @ MemphisMemphis -10.5O/U 55.5
Wk 1W Michigan @ MichiganMichigan -26.5O/U 47.5
Wk 1Toledo @ Michigan StateMichigan State -10.5O/U 49.5
Wk 1UL Monroe @ Mississippi StMississippi St -28.5O/U 55.5
Wk 1Ohio @ NebraskaNebraska -23.5O/U 47.5
Wk 1Western Kentucky @ NevadaWestern Kentucky -3.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1C Michigan @ New MexicoNew Mexico -12.5
Wk 1Ball State @ Ohio StateOhio State -50.0O/U 56.5
Wk 1UTEP @ OklahomaOklahoma -40.5O/U 50.5
Wk 1Louisville @ Ole MissOle Miss -6.5O/U 55.5
Wk 1Boise State @ OregonOregon -24.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1Marshall @ Penn StatePenn State -23.5O/U 54.5
Wk 1Miami (OH) @ PittsburghPittsburgh -16.0O/U 50.5
Wk 1massachusetts @ RutgersRutgers -30.5
Wk 1Kent State @ South CarolinaSouth Carolina -34.5O/U 52.5
Wk 1FIU @ South FloridaSouth Florida -12.5O/U 54.5
Wk 1Hawai'i @ StanfordStanford -3.2O/U 50.5
Wk 1Miami @ StanfordMiami -21.5O/U 48.5
Wk 1North Carolina @ TCUTCU -6.5O/U 49.5
Wk 1Texas St @ TexasTexas -30.5O/U 59.5
Wk 1Missouri St @ Texas A&MTexas A&M -38.5O/U 52.5
Wk 1Sam Houston @ TroyTroy -17.0O/U 50.5
Wk 1Oklahoma State @ TulsaOklahoma State -12.0O/U 61.5
Wk 1Memphis @ UNLVUNLV -3.0O/U 60.5
Wk 1Fresno State @ USCUSC -23.5
Wk 1San José St @ USCUSC -35.5O/U 57.5
Wk 1NC State @ virginiavirginia -3.7O/U 54.0
Wk 1Akron @ Wake ForestWake Forest -22.5O/U 49.5
Wk 1Washington St @ WashingtonWashington -21.5
Wk 1Coastal Carolina @ West VirginiaWest Virginia -17.5O/U 57.5
Wk 1Notre Dame @ WisconsinNotre Dame -20.5O/U 47.5
Wk 2Oklahoma @ MichiganMichigan -2.5O/U 45.5
Wk 2Ohio State @ TexasTexas -1.5O/U 47.5

Lines are a June 2026 consensus and will move. Not betting advice.