The market
2026 Vegas win totals
Every team's posted season win total next to our projection. Our model is anchored to the market, so the two track closely — the value is in what the line implies for the playoff race on the main board.
#
Team
Vegas
Proj
Posted game lines
The early matchups books have already priced (119 games). The rest open through the summer.
Wk 1East Carolina @ AlabamaAlabama -27.7O/U 52.5
Wk 1Baylor @ AuburnAuburn -7.2O/U 58.8
Wk 1UCLA @ CaliforniaUCLA -2.3O/U 53.8
Wk 1Boston College @ CincinnatiCincinnati -7.2O/U 49.5
Wk 1Wyoming @ Colorado StColorado St -3.0O/U 46.5
Wk 1Tulane @ DukeDuke -7.5O/U 51.3
Wk 1San José St @ E MichiganE Michigan -3.0O/U 56.3
Wk 1FAU @ FloridaFlorida -26.5O/U 59.5
Wk 1SMU @ Florida StateSMU -3.0O/U 52.8
Wk 1New Mexico St @ Florida StateFlorida State -29.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1Colorado @ Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -6.5O/U 50.8
Wk 1UNLV @ Hawai'iUNLV -3.0O/U 56.3
Wk 1Oregon St @ HoustonHouston -20.5O/U 49.5
Wk 1UAB @ IllinoisIllinois -27.7O/U 54.5
Wk 1north-texas @ IndianaIndiana -40.2O/U 55.5
Wk 1N Illinois @ IowaIowa -31.2O/U 44.5
Wk 1liberty @ james-madisonjames-madison -6.5O/U 50.5
Wk 1Clemson @ LSULSU -10.0O/U 50.5
Wk 1Arkansas St @ MemphisMemphis -11.2O/U 52.3
Wk 1W Michigan @ MichiganMichigan -27.5O/U 48.5
Wk 1Toledo @ Michigan StateMichigan State -9.5O/U 47.0
Wk 1UL Monroe @ Mississippi StMississippi St -28.5O/U 54.8
Wk 1Ohio @ NebraskaNebraska -23.7O/U 45.8
Wk 1Western Kentucky @ NevadaWestern Kentucky -2.5O/U 52.5
Wk 1C Michigan @ New MexicoNew Mexico -10.0O/U 46.5
Wk 1Wisconsin @ Notre DameNotre Dame -20.5O/U 47.5
Wk 1Ball State @ Ohio StateOhio State -50.7O/U 56.0
Wk 1UTEP @ OklahomaOklahoma -41.5O/U 51.5
Wk 1Louisville @ Ole MissOle Miss -7.0O/U 55.5
Wk 1Boise State @ OregonOregon -24.5O/U 51.3
Wk 1Marshall @ Penn StatePenn State -24.2O/U 52.5
Wk 1Miami (OH) @ PittsburghPittsburgh -16.5O/U 48.5
Wk 1massachusetts @ RutgersRutgers -28.7O/U 51.5
Wk 1Kent State @ South CarolinaSouth Carolina -36.0O/U 54.0
Wk 1FIU @ South FloridaSouth Florida -14.0O/U 52.0
Wk 1Hawai'i @ StanfordStanford -3.5O/U 48.5
Wk 1Miami @ StanfordMiami -24.5O/U 48.5
Wk 1North Carolina @ TCUTCU -6.5O/U 46.3
Wk 1Texas St @ TexasTexas -29.5O/U 59.8
Wk 1Missouri St @ Texas A&MTexas A&M -40.5O/U 53.5
Wk 1Sam Houston @ TroyTroy -17.2O/U 53.5
Wk 1Oklahoma State @ TulsaOklahoma State -13.3O/U 59.3
Wk 1Memphis @ UNLVUNLV -3.5O/U 55.5
Wk 1Fresno State @ USCUSC -22.0O/U 51.8
Wk 1San José St @ USCUSC -35.5O/U 61.2
Wk 1NC State @ virginiavirginia -3.5O/U 50.5
Wk 1Akron @ Wake ForestWake Forest -24.2O/U 48.5
Wk 1Washington St @ WashingtonWashington -23.2O/U 50.8
Wk 1Coastal Carolina @ West VirginiaWest Virginia -20.5O/U 55.8
Wk 2Iowa State @ IowaIowa -11.5O/U 41.5
Wk 2Missouri @ KansasMissouri -7.0O/U 53.5
Wk 2Oklahoma @ MichiganMichigan -2.0O/U 46.0
Wk 2Oregon @ Oklahoma StateOregon -18.5O/U 60.5
Wk 2Ohio State @ TexasTexas -1.5O/U 47.5
Wk 2Arizona State @ Texas A&MTexas A&M -14.5O/U 51.5
Wk 2Arkansas @ UtahUtah -9.5O/U 54.5
Wk 3Florida State @ AlabamaAlabama -15.5O/U 52.5
Wk 3Florida @ AuburnFlorida -1.5O/U 53.5
Wk 3SMU @ LouisvilleLouisville -1.5O/U 56.5
Wk 3LSU @ Ole MissOle Miss -1.5O/U 57.5
Wk 3Houston @ Texas TechTexas Tech -13.5
Wk 4Oklahoma @ GeorgiaGeorgia -10.0O/U 52.5
Wk 4Texas A&M @ LSULSU -3.0O/U 57.5
Wk 4Texas @ TennesseeTexas -6.5O/U 56.5
Wk 4Oregon @ USCOregon -5.5O/U 58.5
Wk 5Miami @ ClemsonMiami -7.0O/U 55.5
Wk 5Notre Dame @ North CarolinaNotre Dame -23.5O/U 55.5
Wk 6Georgia @ AlabamaGeorgia -3.0O/U 50.5
Wk 6Texas @ OklahomaTexas -6.0O/U 48.5
Wk 6USC @ Penn StatePenn State -1.5O/U 56.5
Wk 7Notre Dame @ BYUNotre Dame -10.0O/U 54.5
Wk 7North Carolina @ DukeDuke -4.5O/U 54.5
Wk 7Auburn @ GeorgiaGeorgia -16.5O/U 54.5
Wk 7Ohio State @ IndianaOhio State -1.5O/U 48.5
Wk 7Kansas @ Kansas StateKansas State -7.5O/U 54.5
Wk 7Florida State @ MiamiMiami -16.5O/U 53.5
Wk 7Penn State @ MichiganMichigan -6.5O/U 51.5
Wk 7Nebraska @ OregonOregon -21.5O/U 51.5
Wk 7Alabama @ TennesseeAlabama -1.5O/U 56.5
Wk 8Texas A&M @ AlabamaAlabama -2.5O/U 54.5
Wk 8Indiana @ MichiganIndiana -6.0O/U 52.5
Wk 8Ole Miss @ TexasTexas -8.5O/U 54.5
Wk 8Houston @ UtahUtah -6.5O/U 50.5
Wk 8Duke @ virginiavirginia -6.5O/U 53.5
Wk 9Clemson @ Florida StateClemson -1.5O/U 51.5
Wk 9Florida @ GeorgiaGeorgia -12.5O/U 53.5
Wk 9Ohio State @ USCOhio State -7.5O/U 54.5
Wk 10Alabama @ LSULSU -3.5O/U 54.5
Wk 10Michigan State @ MichiganMichigan -16.5O/U 50.5
Wk 10Miami @ Notre DameNotre Dame -6.5O/U 54.5
Wk 10Oregon @ Ohio StateOhio State -6.0O/U 52.5
Wk 10Georgia @ Ole MissGeorgia -4.5O/U 55.5
Wk 10BYU @ UtahUtah -3.0O/U 51.5
Wk 11USC @ IndianaIndiana -10.0O/U 58.5
Wk 11Texas @ LSUTexas -2.5O/U 54.5
Wk 11Duke @ MiamiMiami -21.0O/U 55.5
Wk 11Ole Miss @ OklahomaOklahoma -4.0O/U 53.5
Wk 11Texas Tech @ Oklahoma StateTexas Tech -15.5O/U 61.5
Wk 11Michigan @ OregonOregon -13.5O/U 53.5
Wk 11Tennessee @ Texas A&MTexas A&M -8.5O/U 55.5
Wk 12virginia-tech @ MiamiMiami -16.5O/U 56.5
Wk 12SMU @ Notre DameNotre Dame -17.5O/U 56.5
Wk 12Texas A&M @ OklahomaOklahoma -2.5O/U 51.5
Wk 12LSU @ TennesseeLSU -1.5O/U 57.5
Wk 13Auburn @ AlabamaAlabama -10.0O/U 53.5
Wk 13Arizona State @ ArizonaArizona -4.5O/U 52.5
Wk 13South Carolina @ ClemsonClemson -3.0O/U 53.5
Wk 13Florida @ Florida StateFlorida -4.5O/U 52.5
Wk 13NC State @ North CarolinaNC State -1.5O/U 55.5
Wk 13Illinois @ NorthwesternIllinois -3.5O/U 52.5
Wk 13Michigan @ Ohio StateOhio State -13.5O/U 46.5
Wk 13Mississippi St @ Ole MissOle Miss -14.5O/U 56.5
Wk 13Washington @ OregonOregon -15.5O/U 54.5
Wk 13Texas @ Texas A&MTexas -2.5O/U 53.5
Wk 13TCU @ Texas TechTexas Tech -16.5O/U 55.5
Wk 13USC @ UCLAUSC -10.5O/U 55.5
Wk 13Tennessee @ VanderbiltTennessee -3.0O/U 57.5
Wk 13virginia @ virginia-techvirginia-tech -1.5O/U 53.5
Wk 15Navy @ ArmyNavy -2.5O/U 37.5
Lines are a June 2026 consensus and will move. Not betting advice.